Lib Dems drop to 11 in first phone poll of the month

Lib Dems drop to 11 in first phone poll of the month

Poll/Publication Date CON % LAB % LD %
Ipsos-MORI/ 12/12/10 38 39 11
Ipsos-MORI/Reuters 14/11/10 36 39 14
Ipsos-MORI/Reuters 17/10/10 39 36 14
Ipsos-MORI/Reuters 12/09/10 37 37 15
Ipsos-MORI/Reuters 25/07/10 40 38 14
Ipsos-MORI/Reuters 20/06/10 39 31 19

And EdM takes a hit in his approval ratings

We’ve have to wait a long time for it but the first non-YouGov poll of the month, from Ipsos-MORI, is just out and has the Lib Dems down to 11% – a share that they were last at in November 2008.

The phone survey took place from Friday to Sunday in the immediate aftermath of last Thursday’s vote on fees and the rioting in London. The numbers follow the trend that we have seen in other polling and show the scale of the calamity that the student fees issue has caused to Clegg and his party.

If there is a crumb of comfort in the poll for the yellows it is with Ed Miliband’s approval rating. He’s on a net plus one which is the lowest for any new leader just three months into the job with the exception of Michael Foot.

MORI has been asking the same leadership satisfaction question for more than thirty years and says that William Hague Nick Clegg; Neil Kinnock, John Smith, Tony Blair, Michael Howard, David Cameron and Iain Duncan Smith all had higher ratings after an equivalent period.

In the past approval rating have been an equal and sometimes better guide to electoral outcomes than standard voting intention numbers.

Mike Smithson

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