Hope you can make the next PB gathering Thanks to Fat Steve for once again organising this. We are having an informal get-together tonight at the historic Dirty Dicks pub opposite the main entrance to Liverpool Street station. Kick off is at 6.30pm and I am on the train bound for London. Details of the venue and how to find it can be found here. Mike Smithson
Poll/Publication Date CON % LAB % LD % Ipsos-MORI/Reuters 14/11/10 36 39 14 Ipsos-MORI/Reuters 17/10/10 39 36 14 Ipsos-MORI/Reuters 12/09/10 37 37 15 Ipsos-MORI/Reuters 25/07/10 40 38 14 Ipsos-MORI/Reuters 20/06/10 39 31 19 The red team at its highest level since October 2007 The first non-YouGov poll of November, from Ipsos-MORI, is just out and is in line with the trend from YouGov in showing a movement to Labour. The share of 39% is the highest from the firm since…
Miranda Grell – disqualified by the Woolas law in 2007 One of the things that has been said repeatedly about the Woolas case is that it is only the second instance in 99 years of this law being used to try to over-turn an election for a Westminster constituency. True. But there is a much more recent case involving a council election. The woman standing next to David Miliband in the picture is Miranda Grell who won a seat in…
Poll/publication Date CON % LAB % LD % YouGov/Sun 16/11/10 37 42 10 YouGov/Sun 15/11/10 40 42 10 YouGov/Sunday Times 12/11/10 39 41 10 YouGov/Sun 11/11/10 40 40 10 YouGov/Sun 10/11/10 42 37 11 YouGov/Sun 09/11/10 40 39 13 YouGov/Sun 08/11/10 42 39 11 YouGov/Sunday Times 05/11/10 40 39 12 YouGov/Sun 04/11/10 40 39 11 YouGov/Sun 03/11/10 40 40 9 YouGov/Sun 02/11/10 41 40 11 YouGov/Sun 01/11/10 41 39 11 YouGov/Sunday Times 29/10/10 42 37 13 YouGov/Sun 28/10/10 41 39…
Which party will benefit most? So the cat is out of the bag as Prince William announces he is to marry Kate Middleton sometime in the spring or summer of next year, but what impact does a Royal Wedding have on the politics of the nation? Since regular polling started in 1946 there have been eight royal weddings (which I class as where members of the Royal Family as defined by Buckingham Palace have married in either a civil, religious…
BBC news Wow. What a big news day with the Royal Engagement, the announcement that Cameron’s “vanity staff” are going off the public pay-roll and, of course, the Irish/Euro crisis. Will it be the latter that has the most lasting significance? How serious are the problems facing Ireland and what will be the impact in the UK? With the full-time president of the EU talking about the threat to the overall structure and talk of of a new credit crunch…
Was it this ad that led to Tom stopping his blog? Just over two weeks ago I published the above spoof ad under the headline “Is discipline breaking down within Labour?” and posing the secondary question as to whether its creator, blogging Labour MP, Tom Harris, might be in trouble. Well EdM is about to return to work and what did we see on Tom’s site last night but an announcement that he’s giving up because in his words “blogging…
Polling comparisons from 2004 Date CON % LAB % LD% General election result 05/05/05 33.2 36.2 22.7 YouGov/Mail on Sunday 08/05/04 40 36 18 YouGov/Telegraph 29/04/04 39 35 19 MORI 19/04/04 34 36 22 ICM/Guardian 18/04/04 33 38 22 Populus/Times 04/04/04 34 34 22 YouGov/Telegraph 25/03/04 39 34 20 MORI 16/03/04 35 35 23 ICM/Guardian 11/03/04 35 37 21 Populus/Times 07/03/04 34 36 22 YouGov/Telegraph 26/02/04 39 34 21 ICM/Guardian 22/02/04 34 36 21 MORI/FT 16/02/04 35 36 21 Populus/Times…