Labour take 5 point lead with YouGov

Labour take 5 point lead with YouGov

Poll/publication Date CON % LAB % LD %
YouGov/Sun 16/11/10 37 42 10
YouGov/Sun 15/11/10 40 42 10
YouGov/Sunday Times 12/11/10 39 41 10
YouGov/Sun 11/11/10 40 40 10
YouGov/Sun 10/11/10 42 37 11
YouGov/Sun 09/11/10 40 39 13
YouGov/Sun 08/11/10 42 39 11
YouGov/Sunday Times 05/11/10 40 39 12
YouGov/Sun 04/11/10 40 39 11
YouGov/Sun 03/11/10 40 40 9
YouGov/Sun 02/11/10 41 40 11
YouGov/Sun 01/11/10 41 39 11
YouGov/Sunday Times 29/10/10 42 37 13
YouGov/Sun 28/10/10 41 39 11
YouGov/Sun 27/10/10 41 39 12
YouGov/Sun 26/10/10 40 38 12
YouGov/Sun 25/10/10 40 40 11

There’s been a dramatic change in tonight’s YouGov daily poll where in the past 24 hours Labour have moved up from a two point lead to a five point lead. Just a week ago the Tories were five points ahead.

The 42% share for the red team is the highest that’s been achieve in any poll since Brown’s general election U-turn on October 2007 and will certainly provide some heart as Ed Miliband prepares to return from paternity leave.

The big question is whether this is just a one-off for tonight or the sign of a big trend.

What we badly need is some other polling to benchmark YouGov against and hopefully we’ll get something next weekend.

The Lib Dems are still down on 10% which is one point above their YouGov low.

Mike Smithson

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