On Vince’s big day he’s 2/1 favourite to leave first
| First cabinet member to leave | Party | Price |
|---|---|---|
| Vince Cable | Lib Dem | 2/1 |
| William Hague | Conservative | 4/1 |
| Liam Fox | Conservative | 5/1 |
| Chris Huhne | Lib Dem | 8/1 |
| Iain Duncan Smith | Conservative | 8/1 |
| Theresa May | Conservative | 14/1 |
| Michael Gove | Conservative | 16/1 |
| Andrew Lansley | Conservative | 16/1 |
| Michael Moore | Lib Dem | 20/1 |
| Andrew Mitchell | Conservative | 20/1 |
| Nick Clegg | Lib Dem | 20/1 |
| Owen Paterson | Conservative | 25/1 |
| Danny Alexander | Lib Dem | 25/1 |
| Jeremy Hunt | Conservative | 25/1 |
| Kenneth Clarke | Conservative | 25/1 |
| Eric Pickles | Conservative | 25/1 |
| Caroline Spelman | Conservative | 25/1 |
| Cheryl Gillan | Conservative | 25/1 |
| Lord Strathclyde | Conservative | 25/1 |
| Baroness Warsi | Conservative | 25/1 |
| George Osborne | Conservative | 25/1 |
| Philip Hammond | Conservative | 33/1 |
| David Cameron | Conservative | 50/1 |
Is it all down to the Coalition Crack Hunters?
With all the focus being on the Lib Dem conference in Liverpool Ladbrokes have opened a “next cabinet minister to leave” market. The prices are above and, as can be seen, the favourite, at 2/1, is Vince Cable whose speech will be today’s conference highlight.
Newsnight devoted half its programme last night to a report that the business secretary is “calling for the end of capitalism”.
Inevitably the media pack at the Liverpool conferences have been looking for “coalition crack” stories and Vince’s general demeanour is that he never appears to be happy. Mind you he was like that before the election.
He’s also well known and is, of course, one of those Lib Dem politicians who started as Labour, switched to the newly formed SDP in the early 80s and now find themselves in a Tory-led government.
He might well be the first to leave but he’s certainly not worth his 2/1 favourite status. This is one market I’m avoiding because in the absence something personally untoward for one of them I can’t see any changes in the near future. Cameron and Clegg will surely stick with their initial team until next summer at the earliest?