Fieldwork	Pollster/Publication	CON	LAB	LD	OTH
10-11 June	YouGov / Sunday Times	40	32	18	10
1- 9 June	Harris/Metro	36	30	25	9
28-31 May	ComRes / The Independent	37	33	21	9
21-23 May	ICM / The Guardian	39	32	21	8
20-21 May	YouGov / Sunday Times	39	32	21	7
13-14 May	YouGov / Sunday Times	37	34	21	8
12-13 May	ICM / Sunday Telegraph	38	33	21	8
12-13 May	ComRes / Independent on Sunday & Sunday Mirror	38	34	21	7
6th May	General Election GB figures	37	29.7	23.6	9.8

Harris has the Yellows at 25 percent

We have not spent too much time looking at the voting intention polls since the election – after all the next election could be five years away.

Yesterday saw a YouGov poll which had the Tories up at 40% with the Lib Dems down at 18%. This morning there’s news of a slightly older Harris survey for the Metro that has Clegg’s party on 25% but with Labour showing no progress on the general election and the Tories down a point.

That’s a big difference on what is becoming a key matter – whether or not the Lib Dems are being punished by some voters for the deal with the Tories. YouGov seems to suggest they are – Harris reports otherwise.

A bigger question could be whether Labour might be back in the lead by the conference season. The next weeks are not likely to be good for the coalition following the budget – and at the end of September the first day of the Labour conference will see the announcement of the outcome of its leadership contest.

There’s invariably a boost anyway in the polls for parties at the time of their conferences and this, surely, could be the moment when we see the red team in the lead again.

In future I plan to show new polls in the above format – so we can see where the latest numbers fit alongside other recent surveys.

NOTE: This post has been updated to take into account the Harris poll.

The revised 2010 General Election poll rankings are here.

Mike Smithson