|10-11 June||YouGov / Sunday Times||40||32||18||10|
|1- 9 June||Harris/Metro||36||30||25||9|
|28-31 May||ComRes / The Independent||37||33||21||9|
|21-23 May||ICM / The Guardian||39||32||21||8|
|20-21 May||YouGov / Sunday Times||39||32||21||7|
|13-14 May||YouGov / Sunday Times||37||34||21||8|
|12-13 May||ICMÂ / Sunday Telegraph||38||33||21||8|
|12-13 May||ComRes / Independent on Sunday & Sunday Mirror||38||34||21||7|
|6th May||General Election GB figures||37||29.7||23.6||9.8|
Harris has the Yellows at 25 percent
We have not spent too much time looking at the voting intention polls since the election – after all the next election could be five years away.
Yesterday saw a YouGov poll which had the Tories up at 40% with the Lib Dems down at 18%. This morning there’s news of a slightly older Harris survey for the Metro that has Clegg’s party on 25% but with Labour showing no progress on the general election and the Tories down a point.
That’s a big difference on what is becoming a key matter – whether or not the Lib Dems are being punished by some voters for the deal with the Tories. YouGov seems to suggest they are – Harris reports otherwise.
A bigger question could be whether Labour might be back in the lead by the conference season. The next weeks are not likely to be good for the coalition following the budget – and at the end of September the first day of the Labour conference will see the announcement of the outcome of its leadership contest.
There’s invariably a boost anyway in the polls for parties at the time of their conferences and this, surely, could be the moment when we see the red team in the lead again.
In future I plan to show new polls in the above format – so we can see where the latest numbers fit alongside other recent surveys.
NOTE: This post has been updated to take into account the Harris poll.