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Month: April 2010

YouGov has the blues back on 40

YouGov has the blues back on 40

YG daily poll: The Sun Apr 8 Apr 7 CONSERVATIVES 40% 37% LABOUR 31% 32% LIB DEMS 18% 19% LAB to CON swing from 2005 6% 4% What does this say about the opening salvoes? After last night’s YouGov poll which was distinctly out of line with the rest we now have Cameron’s party back on 40 with Labour down at 31%. This will give real boost to the blue team and be a jolt to Brown Central which was…

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Can the blues retain their churn and retention lead?

Can the blues retain their churn and retention lead?

Message from Robert: Well that was rubbish. We were trying to load-balance between the servers using perlbal. And perlbal performed so badly the load-balancer itself was unreachable. I’m going to try using nginx for load-balancing now. Hopefully there won’t be too many ill effects. If anyone has any experience implementing software load balancing on Linux, please email me: rcs1000 at g mail dot com Populus Apr 7 (Feb 7) CON 2010 LAB 2010 LD 2010 Voted CON in 2005 90%…

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MORI has Tories making progress in the marginals

MORI has Tories making progress in the marginals

Message from Robert: I am about to ‘flip’ the DNS settings on our brand new load balancer. This should increase our web serving capacity significantly (we go from one web server to three), and improve page load times too. There may be some… inconsistencies… while this is happening. If you are having trouble seeing the site at any point, you can always go to https://www1.politicalbetting.com. Alternatively, for those of you using Windows machines, hit Windows-R to bring up the “Run…

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Continuation thread

Continuation thread

I was waiting to put up a new thread when some big polling news came out. I thought it would have been out by now. So in order to avoid too much pressure being put on the server please continue the discussion here. Mike Smithson

Harnessing the power of Twitter for the election

Harnessing the power of Twitter for the election

PB’s MORUS on standardised constituency tags We all know, or should do by now, that there is nowhere better to be on an election night than in the comments section of PoliticalBetting.com – the 2010 General Election will be no different in that respect. However, one development of the last 2 years means that we will have access to more information from the ground than ever before. Developments in the mobile web mean that it is now commonplace for people…

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The LDs rise at the Tories’ expense with YouGov

The LDs rise at the Tories’ expense with YouGov

Message from Robert: I attempted to upgrade the main politicalbetting webserver (codenamed Ming) last night. Alas, this was not a success, and it refuses to come back up. The problem seems to be related to the onboard clock. We are therefore currently running solely off of webserver number two (aka Gideon). This may result in some slow performance tomorrow morning. Rest assured, I will get it up and running as soon as possible. If you find the main site slow,…

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Does Populus put ICM in context?

Does Populus put ICM in context?

Populus for the Times Apr 7 Feb 7 CONSERVATIVES 39.3% 40% LABOUR 31.6% 30% LIB DEMS 20.8% 20% LAB to CON swing from 2005 5.4% 6.5% But why record the figures without rounding? Tonight’s poll by Populus for the Times is hugely significant because the firm’s methodology is based on ICM and generally the fieldwork is carried out from ICM call centres. So it provides us with something that’s quite similar to compare the recent ICM poll with – that’s…

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Lib Dems up 2 in new PB/AR poll

Lib Dems up 2 in new PB/AR poll

Angus Reid for Politicalbetting Apr 7 Apr 3 CONSERVATIVES 37% 38% LABOUR 26% 27% LIB DEMS 22% 20% LAB to CON swing from 2005 7% 7% But the Labour still have a double digit deficit There’s a new PB/Angus Reid poll just out and the figures are above. Polling started yesterday and went on until this afternoon – and was almost all carried out after the election was declared by Mr. Brown yesterday. The comparisons are with the weekend’s AR…

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