MORI has Tories making progress in the marginals

MORI has Tories making progress in the marginals

Message from Robert:

I am about to ‘flip’ the DNS settings on our brand new load balancer. This should increase our web serving capacity significantly (we go from one web server to three), and improve page load times too.

There may be some… inconsistencies… while this is happening. If you are having trouble seeing the site at any point, you can always go to Alternatively, for those of you using Windows machines, hit Windows-R to bring up the “Run Program” dialog, enter “cmd.exe” to get a command line, and type “ipconfig /flushdns”.

Thanks for your patience.

MORI Marginals poll 2005 Apr 7 Mar 22
LABOUR 45% 41% 41%
LIB DEMS 17% 11% 11%
LAB to CON swing from 2005 . 5.5% 5%

There’s a new marginals poll from MORI for Reuters that has the Tories making a bit of progress on the last such survey a couple of weeks ago.

The poll ignores those seats where the Tories need a swing of less than 5% but focusses on those in the band up to 9%.

The critical numbers here are the change on what happened in the seats polled at the 2005 general election – and as can be seen the pollster has found a swing of 5.5% which compares with the 4% swing in the last national poll from the firm.

But without a new MORI national poll with which to compare it we cannot conclude that there is a differential – so this poll on its own tells us very little.

It’s all a bit pointless

Still the blues will regard this as progress.

Mike Smithson

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