CON 39% (37) LAB 32% (35) LD 17%(17) Is it down to positive media coverage This morning I suggested that this might be the day to start buying the Tories again simply because they were back in the news after a period when issues involving Labour and Mr. Brown were dominating everything. My view was that there seems to be an element in polls of up to 4% which appeared to be directly related to who had been most on…
The full details of the ComRes and YouGov polls will be published here at 10pm.
CON SPREAD RANGES 334 -339 Sporting Index 330 – 335 ExtraBet 335 – 338 Betfair Line market LAB SPREAD RANGES 231 – 236 Sporting Index 234 – 239 ExtraBet 231 – 235 Betfair Line market LD SPREAD RANGES 53 – 56 Sporting Index 55 – 58 ExtraBet 53 – 53.5 Betfair Line market The PB index on the projected Tory majority has dropped steeply since it was last calculated a week ago. But it would have shown a bigger move…
Will he ever get a better opportunity? With the Michael Ashcroft story on top of Labour’s stunning progress in the polls surely the time is ripe for Brown to take the gamble and call a snap election? If he doesn’t won’t he look back at this week and see it as an opportunity lost? Such a move would be daring and decisive which of itself could give him a poll boost. Will he do it? He should but probably won’t….
Has YouGov done punters a favour? If there’s one thing that the declining Tory ratings, topped by the YouGov 2% lead, have done it has been to change the narrative. For what looked only two months ago like a foregone conclusion can now be reported as a real race again. The prospect of Brown’s Labour coming on top with most seats has shaken everything up and I wonder whether without it Cameron’s latest “most important speech of his career” would…