Marf on the talk of Brown going
Marf is PB’s regular cartoonist – more of her work can be found at LondonSketchBook.com
How’s this going to move after Bournemouth?
Is there a case for a Lib Dem sell? The Sporting Index Spread Market on the number of commons seats the parties will win at the general election has seen little movement in recent weeks – but could all that change after the conferences? Whether Nick Clegg manages to put things on a firmer footing in his speech this afternoon remains to be seen but given that this is the last big showcase before the general election the best that…
Why a CON-LD pact is the only one that’s possible
UKPollingReport Could the party of “fair votes” support the vote losers? One of the hardy annuals of Lib Dem conference week is that people start asking which way Clegg’s party would go in the event of a hung parliament and they held the balance of power. But is this totally irrelevant? For the way the electoral mathematics work means that Labour would only need Lib Dem support for a commons majority if it came behind the Tories in terms of…
Is the Baroness’s future linked to Brown’s weakness?
BBC News Take the 9/4 that she’ll have to go William Hill have just opened a market on whether the troubled attorney-general, Baroness Scotland, will resign or be sacked before the end of the year. This is not yet available online but you can place the bet over the phone. I was allowed a maximum of £75. The Baroness, of course, is in a spot of bother after being fined £5,000 for employing a housekeeper who was not legally allowed…
Continuation thread
In the Spectator: Are the knives out for Vince? Meanwhile Brown says that Baroness Scotland need not resign, despite being fined £5,000. William Hill quote 9/4 No, 1/3 Yes, for “Will Baroness Scotland remain in her position until the end of 2009?” Double Carpet
Are the Lib Dem trying to “piss into the wind”?
Why do they sound as though it’s still 1997? My apologies for the vulgar headline but it seemed the most apt phrase to describe what the Lib Dems have been doing in recent days in not directing all their fire-power on the weak declining party in British politics. For the big dynamic only months away from the general election is the collapse of Labour – which is the mirror of 1997 when it was the collapse of the Tories. Then…
Could the “Gael Poll” be an elaborate hoax?
Google News Search Have I just wasted £100? Yesterday evening I got a call and an email purporting to be from the UKIP press office alerting me to a poll that was just coming out showing the the NO campaign in the Irish Lisbon referendum had taken a substantial lead. It was said that before the 2008 referendum the same pollster had had a survey in the Irish Sun which had produced a prediction, within one percent, of the final…
No respite for Gordon from ICM
CON 43 (+2) LAB 26 (+1) LD 19 (nc) And the “others” total drop to just 12% The September ICM poll for the Guardian is just out and shows the Tories up a couple of points with Labour up one – all within the margin of error. So the September polling is following August and we are seeing very little change. Perhaps the significant move is the decreasing share for “other” parties which has been at a high level since…