CONSERVATIVES 40% (-4) LABOUR 28% (-4) LIB DEMS 22% (+6) …and Labour is back in the 20s again There’s a new ICM poll in the Sunday Telegraph tomorrow with quite dramatic changes on the last surrvey from the pollster nearly a fortnight ago. The big boost is to the Lib Dem total – up 6% at 22% which is only a fraction off what the party, then led by Charles Kennedy, got at the 2005 general election. Generally ICM, which…
How bold can you be in your first 100 days? For those of us who admired how tight and disciplined the Obama campaign was for its duration, it is mystifying how lax the vetting appears to have been around Cabinet nominations. First Bill Richardson was forced to withdraw, allowing Republican Senator Judd Gregg (NH) to take the position at Commerce. They survived the tremors around new Treasury Secretary Geithner’s tax returns, but the same problem of suddenly-discovered tax liabilities has…
Guardian.co.uk Can he go on boasting that the world’s following Britain? For the past five months a key element in the government’s economic crisis rhetoric has been that its approach has been followed or matched by the rest of the world. This line has been used, with some effect, time and time again to batter the Tories in general and isolate David Cameron in particular. It’s become a feature of almost every PMQs. So its not surprising that the Number…
Peter the Punter looks at the Individual Seat Markets In its never-ending quest to find you a bit of value, PB has commissioned at enormous expense some of the finest minds amongst its contributors to see what can be found amongst the markets put up by Ladbrokes, Hills and, most recently, Sky on a number of individual seats at the next General Election. There is no doubt that Ladbrokes have led the way on this. Their politics expert, none other…
Is one of the prizes of victory controlling the system? One of the most disgraceful and anti-democratic features of the current government has been the way it has sought to fix the electoral system for party advantage and to ignore the Electoral Commission when it has called for changes to deal with potential voter fraud. This has been an outrageous use of power by ministers which might have set the precedent for the Tories to do the same if ever…
Guardian Online What will this to do the “Euro-Obama Race” betting On the day of the inauguration William Hill set up a nice market – which of the top European leaders, Merkel, Sarkozy or Brown, would get to meet Obama first. Gord got the first phone call to the new man at the White House and there was briefing afterwards about a possible February meeting for him at the White House. This might still happen but we haven’t had any…
PB’s cartoonist is Marf of LondonSketchbook.com.
Wikipedia Are they underestimating the challenge of LD incumbents? If you are thinking of betting on the Tories to get a reasonable-sized majority at the next election then can I suggest that you make two clicks. Firstly you should go to UKPollingReport’s list of Tory targets with the swing required and count up how many Lib Dem incumbents have to be toppled for Cameron to get into working majority territory. You’ll find that twenty-eight of the party’s top 128 targets…