Picture DaveMundy Is it down now to whether she can keep raising the money? Whether you agree with her or not you have to admire the sheer guts and determination of Hillary to stick in this race. The Pennsylvania demographics and the fact that it was a closed primary meant that the state was always going to be a “must win” for her – but was the margin enough? Her lead over Obama was decisive but not on the scale…
The polls close at 1am UK time. The first details of the exit polling are coming in. The range of White House Race betting prices is here,
Will she win by a big enough margin in Pennsylvania to stay in the race? It’s another US primary night on PB and I hope you’ll stay with us to share your news and insights. The voting will close at 1am UK time when we should iget news of the first exit polls. The critical thing tonight will be how both camps spin it. What percentages will define success or failure? A consensus seems to be emerging that if Obama…
How winning promotion would cost me £1000 Until last week I have to admit that I have never followed the fortunes of teams in the Scottish second division too closely – if at all. But since the Crewe & Nantwich by election came into the frame all has changed – for if the Fife team manages to secure promotion then I might be down £1000. For last June in what now seems to be an earlier political era, one of…
When a 48% polling lead became an actual 11.9%? My most profitable political wager of all time up to eight years ago was a spread bet that Ken would get less than 50% in first preference votes in the first London Mayoral contest. For all the signs were that Ken, then standing as an independent, was going to overwhelm his opponents by a staggering margin and many took it as read that he would get 50% on the first round….
This is the ad that is running tonight on TV stations throughout Pennsylvania as Hillary seeks to ensure she secures the win in the primary tomorrow that will help keep her in the race. The latest polling is here. Mike Smithson
The April ICM poll for the Guardian is just out and reports a big reversal on last month. The figures which, unlike the chart from the paper, has comparisons with the last published ICM poll are: CON 39% (-4): LAB 34 (+2): LD 19% (+1) So instead of a poll suggesting a substantial Tory overall majority we are now back in hung parliament territory with Labour and the Tories competing for top spot on seats. This polling change could not…
Can Hillary do well enough to stay in the race? We are finally there after what has seemed a lifetime since the last primary. The voters of Pennsylvania go to the polls tomorrow for what could determine whether Hillary’s can still entertain her dream of becoming the first female President. This is a closed election which means that unlike many other states only those who are registered as Democrats can take part – a factor that should help the former…