Is it time to start betting on a Conservative majority?
- Con 43 (+6), Lab 32 (nc), Lib Dem 18 (-3)
A poll by ICM in tomorrow’s Sunday Telegraph gives the Conservatives an 11-point lead, up six since the previous poll in January. The Telegraph notes that such a result could give a 40-seat majority for Cameron under FPTP, but under a putative AV-style system this would be reduced to 325 MPs.
On the issue of economic competence, Brown/Darling and Cameron/Osborne are neck and neck, a swing of 3.5% to the Tories since January – 59% of respondents said they have reined in spending over the last year due to the credit crunch.
A couple of questions then:
Final note from the Guest Editor
Just to say special thanks to Sean Fear, PtP and Morus for their contributions this week, and of course Mike who has produced a large number of articles despite being on holiday. Many thanks to all of you for your comments, and as mentioned before, I will be producing a regular Sunday evening slot on international politics.
To John O, AH Matlock, Tyson, and other interested parties – the article on Italy will be out around 5pm tomorrow. I’ve written the piece but Andrea has kindly “peer-reviewed” it and I have incorporated his comments – and he hopes to be doing a follow-up article after the elections.
Cheers and all the very best,
Paul Maggs “Double Carpet”