Browsed by
Month: December 2007

Political betting feature in the Financial Times

Political betting feature in the Financial Times

FT REPORT A finger on the political pulse by Ross Tieman, Financial Times – Published: Dec 07, 2007 Mike Smithson is on a roll. Britain’s foremost political spread betting aficionado is profiting from the opportunity bonanza offered by political upsets in the UK and the US presidential race. “It’s been a great autumn,” he says. “I have got a hefty wadge that has been transferred into my bank account. Since October, I have done about £6,000 [of profits].” You can’t…

Read More Read More

Will limiting liberty lose Labour’s liberals?

Will limiting liberty lose Labour’s liberals?

What’s the political impact of extending the detention limits? Those papers that cover the government’s latest plan to extend the detention without trial period won’t make comfortable reading this morning at the Home Office and Number 10. The Home Secretary’s paper proposing a two week extension to 42 days has triggered off bitter protests and there must be a possibility that it will fail to get through the commons. According to the Guardian the plan “appeared to be foundering last…

Read More Read More

Did you get on the super-slimmer’s band-wagon?

Did you get on the super-slimmer’s band-wagon?

Is he really the man the Democrats fear most? It was back in mid-August that we first looked at the chances of GOP contender and former Governor of Arkansas, Mick Huckabee. At the time the unique element in his background was that he was born and brought up in the same small town as Bill Clinton. Since then Huckabee, whose dramatic slimming story (see picture), has endeared him to many in the most obese country in the world, has gone…

Read More Read More

YouGov reports an 11% SNP lead in Scotland?

YouGov reports an 11% SNP lead in Scotland?

Could this point to disproportionate Labour losses in the General Election? A main reason why my preferred Westminster general election spread bet is on the number of Labour, rather than Conservative, seats is what might happen north of the border where the party could have several more seats at risk than the conventional GB-based seat calculators are suggesting. This is reinforced by a new YouGov poll on voting intention for the Scottish parliament which suggests that there has been a…

Read More Read More

Team Huhne claim late survey boost

Team Huhne claim late survey boost

Could it be closer than YouGov was suggesting? Chris Huhne’s campaign team have released details of a survey by an independent third party organisation which, they say, suggests a late surge in support of their man. The data purports to show that there’s been a big reduction in the number of undecided voters has fallen dramatically over the past ten days (from 38.4% to 17.5%) and that these members have plumped overwhelmingly for the older contender. These are the figures:…

Read More Read More

What do you need to be a good PM?

What do you need to be a good PM?

Is performing well in the Commons the critical element? The above tables are from a YouGov poll of 300 politics academics in UK universities which was prepared for the Political Studies Association. First those questioned were asked to choose a maximum of five from a list of qualities should “matter most if a prime minister is to be successful”. Then they were asked to choose from the same list which of the qualities “matter most” IN PRACTICE to those seeking…

Read More Read More

Are the Cleggies having second thoughts?

Are the Cleggies having second thoughts?

Does the odds-on favourite need to do more than look good? With only nine to to go before voting ends in the Lib Dem leadership there’s been a lot of questioning in the Lib Dem blogsphere over whether the odds-on and strong polling favourite, Nick Clegg is the right choice. He is also the candidate on whom I have bet £900. One factor that has sparked off the concern was his lacklustre performance on Tuesday’s Today Programme on Radio 4….

Read More Read More

…and this week’s resignation is…..

…and this week’s resignation is…..

Will this have a political impact or not? The big news this lunchtime is that the country’s top anti-terror cop, Andy Hayman has resigned, blaming the pressures of the job and “a series of leaks and unfounded accusations”. This follows criticism of him in the Stockwell tube shooting inquiry as well as a series of leaks about his private life. In itself this should not damage the government or the Prime Minister. But one resignation after another, set against a…

Read More Read More