PBC By-Election Competition: the predictions
Who’ll have the most to smile about once the results are declared?
With 74 entries received before the competition closed, the breakdowns are as follows:
Sedgefield
Predicted to win: Labour 70, Lib Dems 4, Conservatives 0
Average vote shares: Lab 45.8, LD 27.2, Con 16.0
Southall
Predicted to win: Labour 54, Conservatives 10, Lib Dems 10
Average vote shares: Lab 35.3, LD 29.0, Con 26.8
JohnLoony average: 238 votes
The full listing of entries is available here:
If you don’t have Excel, these links may be helpful:
Finally, the latest from the betting markets is here.
Paul Maggs “Double Carpet”
Paul Maggs runs The Election Game – click on the logo to email for more information.