Does publicity about your sex life win or lose votes?
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Will Boris and Blunkett be punished for the Spectator affairs?
Two new seat markets just out feature the two front benchers – David Blunkett and Boris Johnson – who resigned their positions in the wake of huge press coverage about their private lives.
Interestingly both resignations were linked to the right-wing magazine, the Spectator. Boris is of course the editor and David Blunkett had an affair with the journal’s publisher.
For Henley Skybet are offering 2/7 on Johnson’s majority increasing and 5/2 on it decreasing. Boris’s figures from four years ago were:- CON 46.09%: LD 27.04%: LAB 21.10%
Sky Bet are offering 1/3 on Blunkett’s majority in Sheffield Brightside decreasing and 9/4 against it increasing. This is what happened last time. LAB 76.90%: CON 10.18%: LD 8.76%
We think that the bookmaker has it right in both seats although there could be a serious LD challenge in Henley.
General Election odds round-up.
© Mike Smithson 2005