The price has gone too high After yesterday’s Populus Poll there’s been more movement on the spread betting markets and we have now reached the stage where the price on the Lib Dems is so high that we must suspend our BUY call. We first made this in mid June when the spread was for the party to get 54-58 seats. Since then the price has soared and soared and it has reached a point where it is no longer…
Today’s Populus Poll would probably carry a lot more weight if it was not so out of line with what the same pollster found just eight days ago. Within that short period:- Labour has jumped 7% from third to first place; the Tories are down 4% from first to second place ; and the Lib Dems are down from second to third place and are also down 4% The figures are CON 28%(-4), LAB 35%(+7), LD 25%(-4) For a good…
A new bet for Blair-Brown watchers A well-thought and promising new market has just been launched by William Hill on when Blair will go. The prices are attractive:- Before end 2005 – 3/1 2006 11/8 2007 10/3 2008 5/1 2009 9/1 2010 & beyond 16/1 Unlike some recent William Hill markets that seemed more designed to attract publicity rather than bets this is being made available online right from the start. This is a good sign because it does look…
UPDATED SUNDAY 5AM Is now the time to back Kerry? The first polls following Thursday’s White House debate in Miami show a big majority of those who watched saying that John Kerry was the winner. An ABC news poll had it 45% Kerry to 36% Bush. Meanwhile the first post-debate poll on the race itself has been conducted and puts Kerry in the lead by 47-45. There’s been a big move back to John Kerry in the betting and the…
The money goes on the Lib Dems The initial verdict from the betting markets to the Hartlepool result is that it’s the Lib Dems who will benefit most at the General Election. The spread markets on Commons seats are:- SportingIndex – LAB 337-345 (nc): CON 210-218 (-2): LIBD 70–75 (+3) IG Index 336-344 (+3) : CON 206-214 (-6) : LIBD 71-75 (+3) The next House of Commons will consist of 646 seats so a party needs 324 to be sure…
How will punters react to Blair’s health, Hartlepool and the debate? With the Hartlepoool by-election, Tony Blair’s health news and the first Kerry-Bush TV debate it’s likely that we’ll see a lot of activity on betting markets right across the board. Labour Leader at General Election A considerable amount of movement here and we expect the Blair price to move out in spite of the statement of his plans for the future. The by-election victory would make it easier for…