Is the pro-Bush bias repeating itself?
With a daily diet of more than thirty new state and national polls predicting very different outcomes the big betting decisions are going to be based on which polling organisations have got it right. To guide us these were the final polls from 2000 to test against the actual result – which had Bush and Gore on 48% each.
SEVEN final national polls had Bush upto 5% ahead. WRONG
TWO final polls showed Bush & Gore level. RIGHT
TWO final polls showed Gore upto 2% ahead. WRONG – but Gore did get most votes.
Site users don’t need reminding that Gore won on the popular vote but Bush got most electoral votes.
2000 White House Race Final Polls
There are different pollster this time and many more surveys are taking place. Today’s national polls are here.
LATEST BETTING 11.30 AM BST
The UK prices and Tradesports have moved a notch to Bush. Iowa has moved a bit back to Kerry.