This is fascinating looking at who would Brits vote against. Reform lower than I might have thought. But what jumps out to me is a quarter of Tory voters would pick Reform as the party they would vote against, doesn’t suggest you can add them together like Lego bricks.

— Luke Tryl (@luketryl.bsky.social) 2025-06-25T16:20:53.824Z

The most interesting finding is that more people are prepared to vote against Labour than they are Reform. While I don’t feel confident enough to predict the outcome of the next election I feel confident in saying the next election with feature hitherto unknown levels of tactical voting.

TSE