politicalbetting.com – Page 995 – The web's premier resource for political betting.

A look at the next American Secretary of State market

1/1/2017 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

Embed from Getty Images A look at the next US. Secretary of State market by RKRKRK The Betfair market makes Trump’s pick Rex Tillerson an overwhelming favourite at c. 90% to be confirmed by the US Senate. Historically nominees normally make it through – the last Cabinet nominee rejected by the Senate was back in 1989. However nominees also sometimes withdraw from the process- Obama lost 3 nominees that way: Tom Daschle (unpaid taxes), Bill Richardson (investigation for pay-to-play allegations) and…

Read More Read More

A 20/1 tip to start off 2017

1/1/2017 TSE Comments 0 Comment

Why I’m taking the 20/1 on Farage being UKIP leader at the end of 2017 Betway have some specials up on what will happen to UKIP in 2017, the one that caught my attention was Nigel Farage to end 2017 as UKIP leader at 20/1, much like a persistent rash, Nigel Farage regularly returns as the next UKIP leader. Ladbrokes make it 3/1 that Nigel Farage will be the next UKIP leader, so by my reckoning the 20/1 on Farage…

Read More Read More

With 2016 drawing to a close the PB/Polling Matters poll of the year

31/12/2016 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

As we approach 2017, Keiran Pedley reviews the winners and losers of the past year and breaks down the 2016 PB/Polling Matters survey results. Earlier this month we conducted the first annual survey of PB readers and Polling Matters listeners. 657 respondents took part and this post looks at some of the results and I give my own perspective too. We asked everyone about their winners and losers of 2016, biggest shocks, defining moments and the thorny issue of the…

Read More Read More

After a Year of Revolt, what’s in store for 2017?

31/12/2016 David Herdson Comments 0 Comment

There might well be scares but there won’t be shocks Few would have predicted twelve months ago that Donald Trump would be about to be inaugurated, that Theresa May would be prime minister and that Paul Nuttall would be leader of UKIP. Those who did should have cashed in nicely. There were straws in the wind for all of these (though most would have anticipated a change of UKIP leader after a Remain win, not a Leave), but the odds…

Read More Read More

NEW PETITION calling for everyone to be able to see a GP within 48 hours needs your support

30/12/2016 TSE Comments 0 Comment

2017 will be dominated by Brexit but we shouldn’t lose sight of the real pressures facing our NHS, whatever your politics, writes Keiran Pedley Until 2016, I was typical of many thirty-somethings in that I had little need to see my local GP too often. This year that changed. Due to a recurring issue I found myself having to see the GP more regularly. Nothing critical, I’m fine, but this experience opened my eyes to a real problem and prompted…

Read More Read More

Not long to go until those end of year political bets are resolved

30/12/2016 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

What wagers have you got outstanding? At the end of the biggest political betting year ever we’ve still got pile of wagers to be resolved and that won’t happen until midnight tomorrow night. These are ones relating to whether things will or will not happen during 2016. My main one has been on Article 50 not being invoked during 2016 – a bet that saw a fair bit of activity until TMay’s CON conference speech in October when she announced…

Read More Read More

The Netflix series “The Crown” is a must watch for political junkies

30/12/2016 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

For the past few days I’ve watched all ten parts of the “The Crown” – the compelling big budget series from Netflix which centres on the life of the Queen. One you’ve watched the opening minutes of episode one you become hooked and I can heartily recommend it. What makes this particularly appealing from the the political perspective is the portrayal of the monarch’s relations with the prime ministers and the big political developments that it covers. It is written…

Read More Read More

Local By-Election Review 2016

29/12/2016 Editor Comments 0 Comment

19 of the 26 LD local council gains since BREXIT have been in places which voted LEAVE Votes cast, change on last time, seats won and change on last time for 2016 Labour 147,049 votes (29% +1% on last time) winning 85 seats (-5 on last time) Conservatives 146,074 votes (29% -2% on last time) winning 97 seats (-33 on last time) Liberal Democrats 76,877 votes (15% +4% on last time) winning 50 seats (+27 on last time) United Kingdom…

Read More Read More