At some stage some of the “will Trump survive” bets will be value

At some stage some of the “will Trump survive” bets will be value

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Donald Trump betting odds from @LadPolitics pic.twitter.com/MkiO5evY6G — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 5, 2017 With tensions growing between Trump and the Republican party these are latest Trump betting odds from Betfred. pic.twitter.com/MQx4wcEP3S — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 5, 2017 But I’m not tempted at the moment In the days leading up to Donald Trump’s inauguration on January 20th we are going to see a lot of speculation on whether he’s going to survive. Certainly his links with Putin and the…

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Unite’s election could be a game changer for Corbyn

Unite’s election could be a game changer for Corbyn

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Don Brind on the big LAB movement battle If Len McCluskey had had his way, Jeremy Corbyn would never have become Labour leader. The general secretary of Unite opposed the Miliband reforms to Labour’s election system that gave the serial rebel a path to the job he’d never dreamt of doing. After his second landslide in 2016 Corbyn looked unassailable. The official line from the Team Corbyn, as well as senior figures like deputy leader Tom Watson, is that the…

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A measure of the anti-elite backlash will be when when a non-dark blue educated leader becomes a GE winner

A measure of the anti-elite backlash will be when when a non-dark blue educated leader becomes a GE winner

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It is not hard to spot the trend here General Election Winning party leader Alma mater 1945 Clement Attlee University of Oxford 1950 Clement Attlee University of Oxford 1951 Winston Churchill Non graduate 1955 Anthony Eden University of Oxford 1959 Harold Macmillan University of Oxford 1964 Harold Wilson University of Oxford 1966 Harold Wilson University of Oxford 1970 Edward Heath University of Oxford 1974 Feb Harold Wilson University of Oxford 1974 Oct Harold Wilson University of Oxford 1979 Margaret Thatcher…

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When LAB eventually gets over its Corbyn-madness Keir Starmer would be an effective replacement

When LAB eventually gets over its Corbyn-madness Keir Starmer would be an effective replacement

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Nobody knows when Corbyn is finally going to step down but that surely is bound to happen in the not-too distant future. At some point the party will get over its temporary madness and decide that winning elections is once again a priority. How and when that will happen is hard to predict. His uber-loyalists won’t have anything said against their man and woe betide anyone, as I’ve discovered in the past 24 hours, who raises doubts about JC’s electability….

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Theoretically at least TMay is the leader with biggest challenge keeping support together over BREXIT

Theoretically at least TMay is the leader with biggest challenge keeping support together over BREXIT

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Anti-BREXIT yellows can siphon away blue votes as well as red ones. While most pundits appear to have focused on Labour’s problems over BREXIT let’s not forgot that the Tory support base is even more divided. YouGov’s latest BREXIT tracker published yesterday had the above splits in party supporters view of the issue that’s set to define British politics. As can be seen the Tory voter base goes 63% right to 33% wrong on current views of the BREXIT vote….

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Getting a sense of proportion over rail fares: the overwhelming majority of voters not affected

Getting a sense of proportion over rail fares: the overwhelming majority of voters not affected

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Map by Ian Warren of @Election_data The big return to work and the hardy annual – rail fare increases If ever there was a political issue that highlights the London-centric nature of Britain’s media it is rail fares. Today’s the big return to work after the holidays and the annual price rise come into effect with the usual annual rail fares stories in much of the MSM. Yet thanks to Ian Warren for his excellent map showing the proportion of…

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