This week’s PB/Polling Matters podcast looks at Theresa May’s speech and looks ahead to Trump’s inauguration

This week’s PB/Polling Matters podcast looks at Theresa May’s speech and looks ahead to Trump’s inauguration

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This week’s podcast is split into two parts. In part one, Keiran is joined in the studio by Adam Drummond, Head of Political Polling at Opinium. Keiran and Adam discuss all things data in the aftermath of Theresa May’s big Brexit speech. They discuss the public’s reaction to May’s speech, attitudes to ‘Hard’ and ‘Soft’ Brexits (and why numbers are not always what they seem), immigration polling, May’s approval ratings and polling on the NHS. Keiran also explains why he…

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The Sun re-does its classic front page on the day of the 1992 general election

The Sun re-does its classic front page on the day of the 1992 general election

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This was from election day in April 1992 Tomorrow's Sun front page is a straight lift of its paper on the day of the 1992 General Election pic.twitter.com/jpKmFRH3ty — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 18, 2017 Tomorrow’s front page https://twitter.com/tonygallagher/status/821819701886091264 https://twitter.com/WoohaDavid/status/821830344160792577

Paul Nuttall’s doing the right thing by seeking to join Carswell in the Commons at the first opportunity

Paul Nuttall’s doing the right thing by seeking to join Carswell in the Commons at the first opportunity

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  This could be a tight 4 way contest The main non-BREXIT UK political news during the day has been that UKIP leader, Paul Nuttall, looks all set to become candidate in the Stoke Central by-election – the seat being made vacant by the Tristram Hunt departure. On Betfair the development has caused UKIP chances to move from 29% to 31% At GE2015 the purples beat the Tories by 33 votes into second place there and look to be in…

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My 66/1 long-shot bet for the 2020 White House race: Democratic Senator Kamala Harris from California

My 66/1 long-shot bet for the 2020 White House race: Democratic Senator Kamala Harris from California

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Could she be the one to take down Trump? With Trump’s inauguration taking place on Friday there’s been a flurry of betting activity on the newly elected Senator from California, Kamala Harris, for the next White House Race in 2020. This followed a lot of coverage of her part in fighting against Trump’s nominee for attorney general, Sen. Jeff Sessions. In November she became the second black woman and first Indian American elected to serve in the Senate. She’s a…

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Theresa May’s big speech – a round up of reaction

Theresa May’s big speech – a round up of reaction

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Theresa May promises a Parliamentary vote on @Brexit, but what does that mean? We explain https://t.co/SvqS1P6UEa pic.twitter.com/uVzopLB3Yb — Bloomberg (@business) January 17, 2017 PM now on phone to Tusk who says UK approach now "more realistic" https://t.co/VFExNl61GO — Faisal Islam (@faisalislam) January 17, 2017 The Front National loved May's speech https://t.co/J7IkSmoh7i — Alberto Nardelli (@AlbertoNardelli) January 17, 2017 When Downing Street briefed they were expecting May's speech to cause "market correction" did they mean upwards? https://t.co/NVl8w4NRk9 pic.twitter.com/81gAFzQ6nX — Ben Chu…

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The verdict on the Corbyn relaunch: Jeremy must try harder

The verdict on the Corbyn relaunch: Jeremy must try harder

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“Message discipline and clarity is like good underwear. You don’t want to wave it around but you notice if it’s not there.” The tweet by former Home Secretary Jacqui Smith didn’t mention Jeremy Corbyn by name but her tweet was undoubtedly prompted last week’s “relaunch.” Smith who was appointed the country’s first woman Home Secretary by Gordon Brown in 2007 was of course aware that supporters of the Labour leader scorn the New Labour virtue of message discipline. I’m a…

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Punters rate UKIP as a 29% chance in Stoke Central. A chance for Paul Nuttall?

Punters rate UKIP as a 29% chance in Stoke Central. A chance for Paul Nuttall?

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Punters on Betfair make LAB a 53% chance on Betfair with UKIP at 29%, LD 11% CON 7%. UKIP's Doc Nuttall could fly the purples' flag pic.twitter.com/OsRzxzn028 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 16, 2017 Betting interest in the Copeland and Stoke by elections is starting to grow even though the sitting MPs have yet to resign. The Copeland man, is off to join the Sellafield nuclear Centre and that’s expected to take place at the end of this month. My…

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