More gloomy by-election news for UKIP and the LD surge continues

More gloomy by-election news for UKIP and the LD surge continues

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Brinsworth & Catcliffe (Rotherham) result:LDEM: 66.0% (+50.4)LAB: 17.1% (-26.2)UKIP: 12.8% (-16.4)CON: 3.0% (-8.8)GRN: 1.0% (+1.0) — Britain Elects (@BritainElects) February 3, 2017 So, tonight's council by-election results:Lab gain from UKIP.LDem gain from Lab.Con HOLD. pic.twitter.com/xQjE8Fktbz — Britain Elects (@BritainElects) February 3, 2017 https://twitter.com/election_data/status/827312698618687488 I’m just recovering from a nasty cold which has really knocked me out so not much time for analysis. Mike Smithson Follow @MSmithsonPB Tweet

Local By-Election Preview : February 2nd 2017

Local By-Election Preview : February 2nd 2017

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(Uttoxeter) Town on East Staffordshire (Con defence, sitting councillor resigns their seat) Result of council at last election (2015): Conservatives 25, Labour 12, Liberal Democrat 1, United Kingdom Independence Party 1 (Conservative majority of 11) Result of ward at last election (2015): Emboldened denotes elected Conservatives 1,819, 1,543 (53%) Labour 1,138, 995 (33%) Green Party 501 (15%) EU Referendum Result: REMAIN 22,850 (37%) LEAVE 39,266 (63%) on a turnout of 74% Candidates duly nominated: Phillip Hudson (Con), Zdzislaw Krupski (Lab),…

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It’s blindingly obvious that Paul Nuttall is a scouser so why try to hide it?

It’s blindingly obvious that Paul Nuttall is a scouser so why try to hide it?

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I like this spoof English Heritage plaque which is doing the rounds in Stoke Central pic.twitter.com/tFJbR2xu9n — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 2, 2017 Now Nuttall risks being disqualified as an MEP The last time an elected MP was kicked out by the courts was LAB’s Phil Woolas in 2010. The notorious leaflets his team produced were ruled to be an illegal practice where there’s a maximum of 3 year disqualification from holding elected office. The Nuttall move relates directly to…

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Lucian Fletcher on the latest Northern Ireland assembly poll

Lucian Fletcher on the latest Northern Ireland assembly poll

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The heat is on… Exclusive insight on state of play for parties ahead of crucial March 2nd vote #AE17 @LucidTalk https://t.co/CpXUbu1rLR — The Sun (@TheSun_NI) February 1, 2017 Arlene Foster’s personal ratings fall through the floor, but the DUP will bank on fear of a Sinn Fein First Minister to keep their position as lead party in Northern Ireland Assembly The first LucidTalk opinion poll ahead of the 2017 Northern Ireland Assembly election has been published and one of the…

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NEW PB/Polling Matters podcast: May trouncing Corbyn in the polls and why we shouldn’t take the Northern Ireland peace process for granted

NEW PB/Polling Matters podcast: May trouncing Corbyn in the polls and why we shouldn’t take the Northern Ireland peace process for granted

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This week’s podcast is split into two parts. On the first part of the show, Keiran is joined by Nicholas Whyte to discuss the upcoming elections in Northern Ireland and the potential impact of Brexit on the province. Nicholas is an expert in politics and elections in Northern Ireland and a visiting professor at Ulster University and has a blunt warning for anyone that is complacent about the peace process there. On the second half of the show, Keiran is…

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Latest French presidential polling has one-time odds-favourite Francois Fillon failing to make the final two

Latest French presidential polling has one-time odds-favourite Francois Fillon failing to make the final two

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As a Macron Backer I’d like to see other surveys showing same picture There’s no doubt what’s what’s become known as Penelopegate is having a big impact on assessments about who is going to win. The right-wing French Republican candidate has been dominating there polls and betting ever since he won the nomination in November but over the past few days there’s been a huge turnaround. It’s now being suggested that Fillon is damaged goods and might have to be…

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More data from today’s Trump visit YouGov polling

More data from today’s Trump visit YouGov polling

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YouGov polling on how Brits would feel is measures similar to Trump's were brought in here. pic.twitter.com/732XOGj7Z2 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 1, 2017 The YouGov "Should Trump's visit go ahead" poll – the party and referendum splits pic.twitter.com/qSIenZLwXd — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 1, 2017 Tweet

First polling on Trump’s UK visit has 49% supporting and 36% opposing

First polling on Trump’s UK visit has 49% supporting and 36% opposing

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Embed from Getty Images In spite of the massive petition against it and the huge furore and demonstrations within the last 48 hours new UK polling this morning finds that 49% telling a YouGov Times poll that the visit should go ahead with 36% saying it shouldn’t. That means that public appeared to be backing Theresa Mays line on the controversial invitation. I suspect that if it’s felt that the security issues would be so great a polite way of…

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