The enthusiasm gap that spells doom for Corbyn and Labour

The enthusiasm gap that spells doom for Corbyn and Labour

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Tory voters love May whereas Labour voters are lukewarm towards Corbyn and that’s bad news for Labour explains Keiran Pedley On this week’s PB / Polling Matters podcast we unveiled some new data courtesy of Opinium. Respondents were asked whether they agreed or disagreed with 6 statements related to Theresa May and Jeremy Corbyn. By subtracting the number that disagreed with each statement from the number that agreed we could create a ‘net agree’ score for analysis purposes. The results…

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When Corbyn first became leader he said winning back Scotland would be a priority, SLAB are now in third place, 12% behind the Tories

When Corbyn first became leader he said winning back Scotland would be a priority, SLAB are now in third place, 12% behind the Tories

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New @Panelbase Scotland Westminster VI poll (changes since Sep 16) SNP 47% (-3) Con 27% (+6) Lab 15% (-1) LD 4% (-1) https://t.co/2lSOn4tOrb pic.twitter.com/qkEbaq90cF — TSE (@TSEofPB) February 5, 2017 From the graphic above, you can see how Scottish Labour have been eclipsed, a little over three years ago, Labour were polling 45%, now they have a third of that support, most of the collapse happened long before Corbyn became leader. I wonder if the Scottish precedent is playing on…

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This may herald the departure of one of Corbyn’s staunchest allies, and maybe even Corbyn himself

This may herald the departure of one of Corbyn’s staunchest allies, and maybe even Corbyn himself

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If he's losing the support of Diane Abbott then the end is nigh for Corbyn. https://t.co/YDmVVSw0Pc pic.twitter.com/bqU6aCoOOk — TSE (@TSEofPB) February 4, 2017 If Corbyn’s losing the support of Diane Abbott then can the last Corbynite left please switch off the lights. Perhaps I’m being overly dramatic, but if Corbyn’s losing the support of Diane Abbott, and she does leave the Shadow Cabinet over this, then a Rubicon will have been crossed for the leadership of Jeremy Corbyn. She’s always…

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Theresa May is still the only politician with a net favourable rating with the voters YouGov finds

Theresa May is still the only politician with a net favourable rating with the voters YouGov finds

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YouGov’s latest favourable ratings follows the pattern from the end of November where Mrs May is the only politician with a net positive rating, her lead over Mr Corbyn has widened from 40% at the end of November to 46% now, mostly because Mr Corbyn’s ratings have moved from minus 35% to minus 40%, for this Labour leader it appears things can’t get only better for him and his party. The only positive Labour and Team Corbyn can glean is…

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Corbyn is more in touch on Europe with the voters Labour needs to win back than his MPs or members

Corbyn is more in touch on Europe with the voters Labour needs to win back than his MPs or members

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Embed from Getty Images Most of Labour’s lost voters are Leavers This has not been the best week for Jeremy Corbyn. He lost another Shadow Cabinet member and two other frontbench spokesmen, suffered a sizable rebellion on Europe (whereas, unlike one upon a time, the Tories presented an almost united front), prompting several thousand members to resign; yesterday’s YouGov poll confirmed that the Conservatives’ lead remains in the mid-teens, and Labour suffered a devastating local by-election loss in Rotherham, which…

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The Greens have the best YouGov party favourability ratings – Paul Nuttall’s UKIP the worst

The Greens have the best YouGov party favourability ratings – Paul Nuttall’s UKIP the worst

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As I indicated in last post I’m knocked out with after effects of a nasty cold and am feeling very sorry for my myself so won’t be doing much analysis. We’ve now the the latest YouGov favourability ratings and the net figures for the parties appear in the chart. The next section of the polling will be published over the weekend. Mike Smithson Follow @MSmithsonPB Tweet

More gloomy by-election news for UKIP and the LD surge continues

More gloomy by-election news for UKIP and the LD surge continues

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Brinsworth & Catcliffe (Rotherham) result:LDEM: 66.0% (+50.4)LAB: 17.1% (-26.2)UKIP: 12.8% (-16.4)CON: 3.0% (-8.8)GRN: 1.0% (+1.0) — Britain Elects (@BritainElects) February 3, 2017 So, tonight's council by-election results:Lab gain from UKIP.LDem gain from Lab.Con HOLD. pic.twitter.com/xQjE8Fktbz — Britain Elects (@BritainElects) February 3, 2017 https://twitter.com/election_data/status/827312698618687488 I’m just recovering from a nasty cold which has really knocked me out so not much time for analysis. Mike Smithson Follow @MSmithsonPB Tweet

Local By-Election Preview : February 2nd 2017

Local By-Election Preview : February 2nd 2017

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(Uttoxeter) Town on East Staffordshire (Con defence, sitting councillor resigns their seat) Result of council at last election (2015): Conservatives 25, Labour 12, Liberal Democrat 1, United Kingdom Independence Party 1 (Conservative majority of 11) Result of ward at last election (2015): Emboldened denotes elected Conservatives 1,819, 1,543 (53%) Labour 1,138, 995 (33%) Green Party 501 (15%) EU Referendum Result: REMAIN 22,850 (37%) LEAVE 39,266 (63%) on a turnout of 74% Candidates duly nominated: Phillip Hudson (Con), Zdzislaw Krupski (Lab),…

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