The Lib Dem local by-election band-wagon continues with two new gains – both from CON

The Lib Dem local by-election band-wagon continues with two new gains – both from CON

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It’s getting to the stage where double digit swings to the LDs are the norm Kingswood and Hazel Leys on Corby (Ind defence, elected as Labour, caused by disqualification of sitting member) Result: Labour 610 (65% +11%), Conservative 252 (27% +13%), Green Party 82 (9% -1%) Labour HOLD with a majority of 358 (38%) on a swing of 1% from Labour to Conservative Fairford North on Cotswold (Con defence, caused by resignation of sitting member) Result: Liberal Democrat 610 (68%…

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The music stops. Who would grab the chair if Jeremy Corbyn steps down?

The music stops. Who would grab the chair if Jeremy Corbyn steps down?

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Embed from Getty Images Alastair Meeks on the next Labour leader betting market From the start of his leadership of the Labour party, many Labour MPs struggled to contain their doubts about him.  Even before Jeremy Corbyn was elected leader, Mike Gapes was quoted as saying: “I’ll show him as much loyalty as he showed other leaders.”  Within three months, nearly a third of his party including his own shadow Foreign Secretary were in mutiny against his preferred line on…

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Local By-Election Preview : February 9th 2017

Local By-Election Preview : February 9th 2017

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Kingswood and Hazel Leys on Corby (Ind defence, elected as Labour, caused by disqualification of sitting member) Result of council at last election (2015): Labour 24, Conservatives 5 (Labour majority of 19) Result of ward at last election (2015): Emboldened denotes elected Labour 1,522, 1,472, 1,450 (54%) United Kingdom Independence Party 606 (22%) Conservatives 399, 314, 303 (14%) Green Party 275, 218 (10%) EU Referendum Result: REMAIN 11,470 (36%) LEAVE 20,611 (64%) on a turnout of 74% (No local ward…

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This week’s PB/Polling Matters podcast looks at Germany, Brexit, an Opinium poll on the PMs of the last 30 years, and Clive Lewis

This week’s PB/Polling Matters podcast looks at Germany, Brexit, an Opinium poll on the PMs of the last 30 years, and Clive Lewis

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In part one, Keiran speaks to German political commentator and elections expect Nina Schick, who explains what we should look out for in German politics, the SPD surge and what the German government wants from Brexit. In part two, Keiran is joined by Leo Barasi to discuss the latest Polling Matters / Opinium survey looking at whether the PMs of the past 30 years did a good or bad job and how this compares to current perceptions of Theresa May. Who…

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Why a progressive alliance in Stoke Central might be doomed

Why a progressive alliance in Stoke Central might be doomed

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2015 general election result under different voting systems by The @electoralreform Society https://t.co/Gyvm8kJbyt pic.twitter.com/iMKpYJA6hd — TSE (@TSEofPB) January 24, 2016 Electoral pacts may not help Labour and a progressive alliance Last weekend The Guardian published a story which said ‘Jeremy Corbyn’s team have informally explored the idea of collaborating with the Greens and Liberal Democrats in Stoke-on-Trent Central to keep Paul Nuttall, the Ukip leader, out of parliament. A senior figure in the Labour leader’s office has asked a go-between…

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It’s Clive Lewisn’t a member of the shadow cabinet anymore and becomes favourite to succeed Corbyn

It’s Clive Lewisn’t a member of the shadow cabinet anymore and becomes favourite to succeed Corbyn

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Minutes after he quit the shadow cabinet, Clive Lewis is now 5/1 favourite to be the next Labour leader… pic.twitter.com/GnXamt4bOX — Ladbrokes Politics (@LadPolitics) February 8, 2017 Lab MPs point out Clive Lewis voted for Govt clause + still resigned. They claim he didn't know what he'd voted for."What a knob" one says — Paul Waugh MP (@paulwaugh) February 8, 2017 But Diane Abbott doesn’t rebel Told Diane Abbott sat on the frontbench for some time, before Keith Vaz took…

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Well this won’t make John Bercow happy but grumpy if only he had been bashful when it came to Trump

Well this won’t make John Bercow happy but grumpy if only he had been bashful when it came to Trump

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Now here's a story. Tory backbencher @JamesDuddridge has just fired off this letter. The #GetBercow move has started. pic.twitter.com/uC0LQf5Nv0 — Paul Waugh MP (@paulwaugh) February 8, 2017 Tory MPs plot to oust Bercow as speaker following his attack on @realDonaldTrump, with no-confidence vote https://t.co/ObVSjtuKVY — Robert Peston (@Peston) February 8, 2017 He’s now 4/1 from 5/1 not to remain Speaker until 2018 with William Hill TSE

Reports that Corbyn “has fixed his exit date” sets off betting rush on when he’ll go and who’ll replace him

Reports that Corbyn “has fixed his exit date” sets off betting rush on when he’ll go and who’ll replace him

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Overnight there has been a bit of a betting flurry following reports that Corbyn has shared with close colleagues his planned date to leave the LAB leadership. William Hill say they’ve been forced to take evasive action by slashing their odds for Jeremy Corbyn to cease to be Labour leader during 2017, after a rush of bets for him saw the odds slashed from 2/1 (33% chance) to even money (50%). This suggests that he is going before the next…

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