The latest PB cartoon on Tony Blair’s Brexit intervention
Cartoon by Helen Cochrane and Nicholas Leonard.
YouGov’s BREXIT tracker is back to exactly where it was just after Theresa May became PM
For all the machinations opinion simply hasn’t changed Above is YouGov’s BREXIT tracker in which it has been regularly asking the same question “In hindsight, do you think Britain was right or wrong to vote to leave the European Union?” over many months.” As can be seen the most striking feature is the almost total lack of movement. In fact the numbers in the latest poll are exactly the same as they were at the start of August 2016 shortly…
Losses for the LDs and Tories in latest local elections plus preview of one more contest tonight
Bollington on Cheshire East (Con defence, resignation of sitting member) Result: Bollington First 939 (51% +14%), Conservative 319 (17% -14%), Labour 239 (13% -8%), Liberal Democrat 198 (11% unchanged), Green 162 (9%, no candidate at last election) Bollington First GAIN from Conservative with a majority of 620 (33%) on a swing of 14% from Conservative to Bolington First St. Thomas on Dudley (Lab defence, resignation of sitting member) Result: Labour 1,466 (61% +4%), United Kingdom Independence Party 653 (27% +5%),…
Six times as many LD supporters say they’re concerned about BREXIT than UKIP voters
This dynamic could have an impact next Thursday The above chart is based on data from the latest Ipsos MORI issues index and shows the party splits of those, unprompted, naming BREXIT as the main, or one of the the main, issues facing Britain at the moment. As can be seen there is a huge gap between the LDs, with 79% raising it, to UKIP voters where the figure is 15%. The Tory figure is highish well ahead of LAB….
The return of Butskellism
On seeing Sarah Bernhardt play Cleopatra a Victorian matron exclaimed: “How different, how very different, from the home life of our own dear Queen!” Leave supporters might voice similar sentiments about the very different ways in which Theresa May and Donald Trump have chosen to capitalise on their respective ascents to power. President Trump has chosen to lead the nation as he campaigned – divisively, aggressively and with scant regard for longstanding conventions. His spokesman has pronounced that the president’s…
Tonight sees biggest round of local by-elections so far this year
Vote aggregate of the year’s contests so far Bollington on Cheshire East (Con defence, resignation of sitting member) Result of council at last election (2015): Conservatives 53, Labour 16, Independents 3, Middlewich First 3, Liberal Democrats 2, Nantwich Independents 2, Ratepatyers 2, Bollington First 1 (Conservative majority of 24) Result of ward at last election (2015) : Emboldened denotes elected Bollington First 1,743, 1,380 (37%) Conservatives 1,435, 1,403 (31%) Labour 1,006 (21%) Liberal Democrats 511, 427 (11%) EU Referendum Result:…
Ipsos MORI has LAB, the traditional party of the working classes, 16% behind amongst C2DEs
How long can the red team keep Corbyn at the controls? The latest Ipsos MORI poll is out and has more polling numbers to fuel the Corbyn must go narrative. Perhaps the most striking figures are in the socio economic split featured above with Corbyn’s party trailing by 16% amongst the C2DEs – the working classes. Essentially under the current leadership LAB has lost its core vote. Other data in the poll is hardly encouraging. These are the leader satisfaction…
Trump’s approval ratings, fake news, leader ratings, and immigration – all in this week’s PB/Polling Matters Podcast
On this week’s PB/Polling Matters podcast Keiran is joined by Leo Barasi and Harry Carr (Head of Sky Data) to discuss Donald Trump’s approval rating and latest controversies, YouGov polling on ‘Fake News’ and the latest Polling Matters / Opinium survey which this week takes a look at immigration (see image above) and the approval ratings of Theresa May, Jeremy Corbyn and other party leaders including (topically) UKIP leader Paul Nuttall. Our poll on immigration looks to take an in-depth…