NEW PB/Polling Matters podcast: SCOTLAND SPECIAL+ more on Northern Ireland)

NEW PB/Polling Matters podcast: SCOTLAND SPECIAL+ more on Northern Ireland)

Comments 0 Comment

  On this week’s podcast Keiran is joined by Ailsa Henderson, Head of Politics and International Relations at the University of Edinburgh to discuss the prospect of another Scottish Independence referendum. Keiran and Ailsa discuss why Nicola Sturgeon decided to call for a referendum now, what a new campaign would look like, the importance of Brexit, what the polls tell us about who would win and what we can learn from Quebec. Also on the show Keiran unveils some new…

Read More Read More

It looks as though those who bet that the PVV wouldn’t do it in Holland will end up winners

It looks as though those who bet that the PVV wouldn’t do it in Holland will end up winners

Comments 0 Comment

It looks as though the PVV have been beaten https://t.co/f8mBWUvYrZ — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 15, 2017 BREAKING – VOORLOPIGE EXITPOLL: 1. VVD 312. PVV 193. CDA 194. D66 19 Andere partijen, kijk hier: https://t.co/FUYQc0aDbX — RTL Z (@RTLZ) March 15, 2017 ?? #Netherlands | @IpsosNL/@NOS EXIT POLL – seats VVD 31PVV 19CDA 19D66 19GL 16SP 14PvdA 9#tk17 #tk2017 #ikstem #DutchElection — Electogr?fica (@electografica) March 15, 2017 More than 60% of Berfair Dutch election bets had been on the PVV….

Read More Read More

If the PVV do it tonight in the Dutch election it will be another polling miss where the right was understated

If the PVV do it tonight in the Dutch election it will be another polling miss where the right was understated

Comments 0 Comment

Wikipedia British punters stayed with the PVV until yesterday Betdata.io The big political betting event today is the Dutch General Election where the betting prices have been out of line with the polling. British punters appear to have been taking a view that the PVV will do better than the surveys suggest. At one stage Betfair had the PVV at a 71% chance – at 1pm that was down to 34% I took Alistair Meeks’ post yesterday seriously and have…

Read More Read More

The search for the answer to Labour’s woes

The search for the answer to Labour’s woes

Comments 0 Comment

What happens when the focus is on “knocking on doors” John Prescott’s view that Jeremy Corbyn and his top team are “not up to the f***ing job” which earned him a “potty mouth Prescott” headline  in the Mail on Sunday won’t have come as surprise to the Labour leader. I understand that the former deputy Prime Minister has said as much to Corbyn’s face. “You’re not a leader and you never will be while you’ve got a hole in your…

Read More Read More

The Tory MP for Thanet South and his agent have been questioned under caution over their election expenses

The Tory MP for Thanet South and his agent have been questioned under caution over their election expenses

Comments 0 Comment

EXCL: Tory MP Craig Mackinlay interviewed under caution for six hours over South Thanet election expenses: https://t.co/eDhdlnRIQK — Kate McCann (@KateEMcCann) March 14, 2017 The Telegraph are reporting that. Conservative MP Craig Mackinlay was questioned by Police under caution last week over his election expenses, the Telegraph can reveal. The South Thanet MP reportedly spent six hours being interviewed by officers over alleged overspending in the 2015 election campaign in which he beat Nigel Farage and Al Murray, the Pub…

Read More Read More

Why Sturgeon’s SIndy2 isn’t a gamble; it’s a necessity

Why Sturgeon’s SIndy2 isn’t a gamble; it’s a necessity

Comments 0 Comment

In addition, I was elected as FM on a clear manifesto commitment re #scotref. The PM is not yet elected by anyone. — Nicola Sturgeon (@NicolaSturgeon) March 14, 2017 Her window of opportunity could be closing The SNP exists to achieve independence for Scotland. This simple fact shouldn’t really need stating but keeping it at the forefront of our minds is crucial to understanding why what’s going on is going on, and how events might pan out in future. As…

Read More Read More

Your guide to betting on tomorrow’s Dutch election

Your guide to betting on tomorrow’s Dutch election

Comments 0 Comment

Embed from Getty Images The first of the big 3 elections in EU countries this year After the last Ice Age, Britain and the Netherlands were joined by land. The Thames and the Rhine were part of a single river system.  Following an inundation caused by a megatsunami, the two were separated, ironically, under a torrent of water. In 2016, European politics was hit by the megatsunami of Brexit, separating Britain from the rest of Europe.  Are there previously joined…

Read More Read More

As we edge towards the enactment of the A50 Bill Nicola has just made Theresa’s task harder

As we edge towards the enactment of the A50 Bill Nicola has just made Theresa’s task harder

Comments 0 Comment

The political price of hard brexit could be a smaller UK TMay’s reaction to Sturgeon’s InyRef2 announcement was that the Scottish FM and SNP leader was “playing politics” – a term I generally conclude to mean that what’s been said has been highly effective. Certainly the suggestions that TMay might defer invoking A50 until the end of the month suggests there’s a need to look again at her strategy and the rhetoric she will deploy when the formal process of…

Read More Read More