Richard Nabavi on Emmanuel Macron’s Cohabitation Conundrum

Richard Nabavi on Emmanuel Macron’s Cohabitation Conundrum

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If the polls are to be believed, in a few weeks’ time Emmanuel Macron will be president of France, having easily seen off Marine Le Pen in the second round of voting. Pundits will opine that populism has been defeated, and chaos averted. This will be a premature verdict. Macron’s rise to pole position in French politics has been an astonishing one. He has never held elected office before; indeed the presidential contest is the first election he has ever…

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It is organisation more than BREXIT that is driving the Lib Dem resurgence

It is organisation more than BREXIT that is driving the Lib Dem resurgence

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The latest local by elections with an LD gain from UKIP on a whopping 26% swing top off what has been a good week for the LDs. Firstly there have been the Rallings/Thrasher and Lord Robert Hayward May elections’ projection suggesting that the yellows are in for a substantial number of gains on May 4th. In addition to that we have had news of the private Crosby Textor constituency polling for the Tories suggesting that the party is set to…

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Terrible night for UKIP in latest locals losing the two seats it won last time. LDs & CON the gainers

Terrible night for UKIP in latest locals losing the two seats it won last time. LDs & CON the gainers

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Elmhurst on Aylesbury Vale (UKIP defence, resignation of sitting member) Result: Liberal Democrat 785 (64% +38%), Labour 151 (12% -10%), Conservative 147 (12% -9%), United Kingdom Independence Party 111 (9% -14%), Green Party 43 (4% -4%) Liberal Democrat GAIN from United Kingdom Independence Party with a majority of 634 (52%) on a swing of 24% from Labour to Liberal Democrat (26% from UKIP to Lib Dem) Walcot on Bath and North East Somerset (Lib Dem defence, resignation of sitting member)…

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BREAKING: Trump orders cruise missile attack on Syria following the chemical weapon attack

BREAKING: Trump orders cruise missile attack on Syria following the chemical weapon attack

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The new President’s first major military intervention Trump said: “Tonight I ordered a targeted military strike on the airfield in Syria from where the chemical attack was launched. It is in this vital national security interest of the United States to prevent and deter the spread and use of deadly chemical weapons. There can be no dispute that Syria used banned chemical weapons, violated its obligations under the chemical weapons convention, and ignored the urging of the UN security council….

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Two seats which UKIP won last time amongst tonight’s local elections

Two seats which UKIP won last time amongst tonight’s local elections

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Elmhurst on Aylesbury Vale (UKIP defence, resignation of sitting member) Result of council at last election (2015): Conservative 43, Liberal Democrats 9, United Kingdom Independence Party 4, Labour 2, Independent 1 (Conservative majority of 27) Result of ward at last election (2015): Emboldened denotes elected Liberal Democrats 729, 652 (26%) United Kingdom Independence Party 666, 567 (23%) Labour 632, 516 (22%) Conservatives 604, 496 (21%) Green Party 220, 131 (8%) EU Referendum Result (2016): REMAIN 52,877 (49.5%), LEAVE 53,956 (50.5%)…

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Will the last person to quit UKIP please remember to turn out the lights

Will the last person to quit UKIP please remember to turn out the lights

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Job done: Why I am joining the Conservative Group in the Welsh Assembly pic.twitter.com/7TFh9JD6zE — Mark Reckless (@MarkReckless) April 6, 2017 Mark Reckless, 2nd CON MP to defect to UKIP in 2014,rejoins the blue team Just two weeks afte UKIP’s first elected MP, Douglas Carswell, announced that he was leaving the party the second big MP defector from 2014, Mark Reckless, has announced that he’s doing the same. Reckless had been MP for Rochester in Kent and won the by-election…

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Latest PB/Polling Matters podcast with Colin Rallings on the forthcoming local elections

Latest PB/Polling Matters podcast with Colin Rallings on the forthcoming local elections

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Looking forward to May 4th On this week’s PB/Polling Matters podcast, Keiran is joined by Colin Rallings from the University of Plymouth to discuss the latest Rallings and Thrasher projections for the coming local elections in May and what they might mean for the wider political environment. Later in the show, Keiran is joined by Leo Barasi to discuss the latest Polling Matters / Opinium survey which looks at what voters would be prepared to compromise in the coming Brexit…

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