Philip Hammond looks as though he’s for the chop following the June 8th landslide

Philip Hammond looks as though he’s for the chop following the June 8th landslide

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when someone brings up something you did last night pic.twitter.com/4tG2UdUt7B — Esther Webber (@estwebber) May 17, 2017 @iainmartin1 They look like one of those Tory couples in the 1990s snapped at the garden gate after the minister's been in the News of the World — Patrick Kidd (@patrick_kidd) May 17, 2017 What was scheduled to be a Conservative event to attack the LAB manifesto has set off all sorts of speculation about the Chancellor, Philip Hammond. Theresa May was asked…

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Punters move against Trump on the “will he survive ” markets

Punters move against Trump on the “will he survive ” markets

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Analysis | Trump's careening toward an inevitable showdown with an undeniable truth https://t.co/3idPwpv94X — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 17, 2017 If the UK was not in the middle of a general election campaign then the political news that would be dominating things at the moment would be from Washington. The sacking earlier in the month of of the FBI director Comey followed by this week’s revelations that Trump might have disclosed intelligence secrets to the the Russian foreign minister have…

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Team Corbyn’s aim is not to win the election but to keep control of the LAB party

Team Corbyn’s aim is not to win the election but to keep control of the LAB party

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Could matching EdM’s GE2015 vote share of 31.2% really stave off a challenge? I broadly agree with the above analysis of that Team Corbyn’s basic objective is not to win the election but to do enough to keep their man leader. If LAB achieves a GB vote share of 31.2%, which is what the party did in 2015, then they hope the blame for the defeat can be put on the collapse of UKIP not JC. You can see this…

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CONFIRMED: The pre-GE2017 PB gathering: Friday May 26th: from 6.30pm: Close to St Paul’s in London

CONFIRMED: The pre-GE2017 PB gathering: Friday May 26th: from 6.30pm: Close to St Paul’s in London

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The pre-GE2017 PB gathering will take place at the Lord Raglan pub, 61 St Martins le Grand, St Pauls EC1A 4ER. An area downstairs called the Fireplace has been booked. Thanks once again to Fat Steve for finding a new more suitable venue and for making the arrangements. As well as being close to St Paul’s the Lord Raglan is only minutes walk away from Farringdon and City Thameslink stations with their direct links to Gatwick and Luton airports, Brighton…

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How much of Scotland and will still be in SNP hands on June 9th?

How much of Scotland and will still be in SNP hands on June 9th?

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DavidL looks at the prospects and the betting In 2010 Scottish politics look set in some Jurassic age. Not a seat changed hands. Scottish Labour dinosaurs ruled the roost and played on the national stage. In 2015, post referendum, the asteroid struck; an astonishing SNP tsunami, whose power was foreseen by few except Alastair Meeks, swept the SNP to a stunning 56 seats. The old Labour dominance was destroyed forever. What does 2017 hold for us? We have a few…

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Jeremy Corbyn – Labour’s election gift to Mrs. May and the Tories

Jeremy Corbyn – Labour’s election gift to Mrs. May and the Tories

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Canvassing in S London Labour seat and every 2nd house it was Jeremy. Never heard such hostility in 4 decades. — Denis MacShane (@DenisMacShane) May 14, 2017 @MSmithsonPB Canvassing for the Conservatives yesterday, I got a "I like Labour but don't like HIM". Don't need to mention the name anymore. — Darren the Situation (@darrensituation) May 14, 2017 Towards the end of last week I had a long conversation with a Conservative activist who has been canvassing in key target…

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Why UKIP standing aside in a particular seat might not be as beneficial to the Tories as might appear

Why UKIP standing aside in a particular seat might not be as beneficial to the Tories as might appear

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I am sure that I am not the only PBer who is spending a lot of time at the moment looking up Wikipedia pages on interesting constituencies to try to work out whether a particular bet is good value or not. One seat is Don Valley in Yorkshire where longstanding PBer, Aaron Bell (Tissue Price) is standing for the Conservatives. The figures from last time are above. The big thing we found out at the end of last week was…

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