Some numbers that could help TMay’s survival. Another poll, YouGov, has her & the Tories edging back a touch

Some numbers that could help TMay’s survival. Another poll, YouGov, has her & the Tories edging back a touch

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But still LAB leads Given how close it is to the last election it is hardly surprsisng that there are so few voting intention polls coming out. Today’s from YouGov is only the second since Mrs. May lost her majority on June 8th and has the gap down just a touch. CON 40 +2 LAB 45 -1 LD 7 = UKIP 2-2 This follows the weekend’s Survation online poll which had the LAB lead down to 2% from 6% on…

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EXCLUSIVE Support for a second Brexit vote is growing and Leavers should be nervous

EXCLUSIVE Support for a second Brexit vote is growing and Leavers should be nervous

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Keiran Pedley looks at some exclusive polling from Opinium and asks whether Britain really could remain in the EU after all? As Tony Blair gave one of his characteristically unwelcome interventions in British politics last week many were asking why he bothers. With parties supporting Brexit winning more than 8 in 10 votes at the recent General Election you could be forgiven for assuming that the former PM’s calls for Brexit to be stopped will fall on deaf ears and…

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The chart that shows general election campaigns don’t matter (usually)

The chart that shows general election campaigns don’t matter (usually)

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2017 election saw the biggest swing DURING an election campaign ever – uncertainty is the new normal pic.twitter.com/VVTCADtY0T — Ben Page (@benatipsos) July 13, 2017 One of the axioms of British politics is that general election campaigns don’t matter, and the stats in the above chart by Ben Page of Ipsos MORI does back that up, with sub margin of error changes during past campaigns but the 2017 general election campaign really didn’t stick to past conventions. The question was…

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Why people voted Labour or Tory at the general election

Why people voted Labour or Tory at the general election

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  YouGov have released some findings on why people voted Tory or Labour at the general election. After the Tory manifesto that was designed to annoy and upset every voter in the country it’s not surprising that Labour’s policies/manifestos scores higher than the Tories. What I find intriguing is how many people voted against Corbyn (both in absolute numbers and relative to Theresa May) which should alarm the Tories. If Labour are led by someone who isn’t quite so polarising…

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I think allies of David Davis are overreaching and going to damage their man fatally. This is becoming very ugly

I think allies of David Davis are overreaching and going to damage their man fatally. This is becoming very ugly

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Allies of David Davis are claiming that Philip May wants his wife to stand down. May friends say it's a "black ops and untrue". Getting ugly — Tim Shipman (@ShippersUnbound) July 15, 2017 David Davis branded Boris Johnson "a failure" and "toxic to his own sister" when the met at Spectator party. See Sunday Times — Tim Shipman (@ShippersUnbound) July 15, 2017 Key Johnson and Davis acolytes threatened to kick each other in the bollocks last week. See my big…

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Plus ça change, plus c’est la même chose

Plus ça change, plus c’est la même chose

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So Andrea Leadsom might be keeping Mrs May in her job. https://t.co/61uAjuIJNx pic.twitter.com/1Z9HNwBYGV — TSE (@TSEofPB) July 15, 2017 For the second year running Andrea Leadsom is ensuring Theresa May is Prime Minister. Last night I observed the unofficial Tory leadership contest is increasing in its tempo and activity, today The Financial Times have more information on it. Some speculate Mr Davis might be given a “coronation” as the leadership candidate best placed to deliver Brexit, but few Tory MPs…

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This week’s Euratom row does not bode well for the year ahead

This week’s Euratom row does not bode well for the year ahead

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Brexit will obsess the political class and estrange the public In a week’s time, our MPs will have packed up for the Summer recess and will be settling down to their traditional pass-times of making pleasantries at constituency events, exposing bad taste in casual dress, and long-distance plotting. By the time they return on a full-time basis (they pop back for a week in September before conference season), more than a quarter of the time set aside for Britain’s Brexit…

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The unofficial Tory leadership contest is getting vicious with all sorts of briefings and smears flying about

The unofficial Tory leadership contest is getting vicious with all sorts of briefings and smears flying about

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Ally of David Davis is spreading rumours Boris Johnson slept with Theresa May’s aide during campaign https://t.co/7ltka8PGd8 — Sun Politics (@SunPolitics) July 14, 2017 Saturday's SUN: "Even A Woman Can Do That" #bbcpapers #tomorrowspaperstoday pic.twitter.com/hBSsCQRKBZ — Allie Hodgkins-Brown (@AllieHBNews) July 14, 2017 Massive kudos to @JGForsyth, who reveals Hammond's comments in his Sun column tomorrow. pic.twitter.com/ZBc0cxKQcS — Kevin Schofield (@KevinASchofield) July 14, 2017 It might be time for the Tories to ditch leadership contests and bring back the magic circle….

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