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Hammond looks set to reward the young for turning out in such numbers at GE2017

16/10/2017 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

Mail Online But taking from older workers could be a big electoral gamble As was said repeatedly in the lead-up to June 8th the reason that the younger generations appear to get so poorly treated by governments is that by, in the past, not turning out at elections at similar rates to older ones they are seen to be electorally less important. Well the big move on general election day was a big increase in turnout levels in the 18-24…

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After the weekend break welcome back to the coalition of chaos

16/10/2017 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

It shouldn’t be able to go on like this but it probably will The cartoon just about sums it up. Time is running out under the Brexit extraction process and it is hard to say with any certainty who will be the senior members of government at Christmas. TMay is now a diminished figure and in spite of the apparent turmoil within her party she simply does not have the authority to try to reshuffle her cabinet. One side of…

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The Sky Bet decision that points to problems for sites like PB

15/10/2017 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

If others shut down affiliate programme then main revenue streams could be hit Affiliates are third-party companies who work on commission for gambling retailers by directing traffic (customers) to their sites. In the last few years the use of affiliate companies has vastly increased due to the tighter regulation and rising cost of traditional advertising. A 2015 study by the IAB (Interactive Advertising Bureau) estimates that over £16.5bn worth of sales were the result of this performance based marketing. In…

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Boris Johnson v Philip Hammond, who leaves their cabinet position first

15/10/2017 TSE Comments 0 Comment

Paddy Power have a market up on who out of Boris Johnson and Phil Hammond will leave their cabinet position first. I’ve spent the last couple of hours thinking about this market, and trying to come to a definitive view. Both ministers have proven to be the gravest disappointments since Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice, so I can see the arguments for removing both from their current positions, but which will go first, as I can’t see her changing both…

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Betting on who will be Foreign Secretary on the 1st of January 2018

15/10/2017 TSE Comments 0 Comment

Ladbrokes have a market up who will be Foreign Secretary on the 1st of January 2018, I quite like these kind of markets. Boris Johnson’s actions in recent weeks has led many to urge Mrs May to conduct a reshuffle to rid her of her meddlesome Foreign Secretary. With rumours abounding that Mrs May will conduct a reshuffle after this week’s EU Council Summit, this looks like a tempting market. I think we can rule out Emily Thornberry being Foreign Secretary…

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BJohnson now clear betting favourite to succeed TMay

14/10/2017 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

Peston: “No longer absurd that Boris could be PM within weeks” The former Mayor and current foreign secretary is now clear favourite to be the next CON leader but his odds are nothing like as strong as they were in the weekend after the general election. One of the drivers of the increased sentiment in Boris has come from a Facebook post by ITV’s Robert Peston. This is what he wrote about the Brexit divisions in the cabinet. “..Her (TMay’s)…

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Quantum physics could have the answer to Brexit’s Ireland problem

14/10/2017 David Herdson Comments 0 Comment

Perhaps Schroedinger’s Border Guards should patrol the Customs Union Brexit will happen. As Alastair Meeks sensibly pointed out here yesterday, there’s a good, clear case that Article 50 is not revocable. Britain could ask for an extension to the talks but the PM has been clear that she doesn’t intend to do so and in any case, a delay is not a reversal of course. In practice, the transitional arrangement might look very much like continued membership but even that…

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Local By-Election Results : October 12th 2017

13/10/2017 Editor Comments 0 Comment

Inverurie and District on Aberdeenshire (Con defence) Result of first preference votes: Conservative 1,672 (49% +13% on last time), Scottish National Party 1,146 (33% +5% on last time), Liberal Democrat 295 (9% -3% on last time), Labour 276 (8% +4% on last time), Green Party 56 (2%, no candidate last time) (No Independent candidate this time -20%) Conservative lead of 526 (16%) on a swing of 4% from SNP to Con Conservative HOLD elected on the fourth count Rossal on…

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