Why she should follow the example of Michael Howard One of the things that is often commented on as people discuss who will be the next Tory leader is how underwhelming the obvious front runners appear. If you look at the betting there is no clear choice and this is an opportunity for Mrs May to plan for the future of her party by promoting people who could grow and become the leaders of tomorrow. I was always impressed by…
BREAKING- Michael Fallon has resigned as Defence Secretary, admitting his behaviour in the past may have ‘fallen short’ — Laura Kuenssberg (@bbclaurak) November 1, 2017
The current scandals are moving the markets Above is the betdata.io trend chart showing the big movement to Corbyn in the next PM market. This is a crazy market as I’ve observed here before. Fact is that it is hard to see how Corbyn or any Labour leader becomes PM before the next general election and after TMay’s GE2017 experience she is hardly going to precipitate an early election once again. In any case it is hard to see the…
Getting closer to TMay. Damian Green, her deputy & long standing Oxford friend being investigatedhttps://t.co/FhqNllVt4z pic.twitter.com/Lz4k3NVT9N — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 1, 2017 The political friendship between Theresa May and Damian Green goes back more than three decades to their time as students together in Oxford. He served in the Home Office with her and it was no surprise that Green was appointed a Cabinet minister in July 2016. It was to him that she turned to after GE17 disappointment…
Most Trump loyalists think Russia wanted Hillary Clinton to win A new US poll by Public Policy Polling finds record level of support for the President to be impeached. Now 49% say he should with 41% saying he shouldn’t. But it is not all one way traffic as this extract from the firm’s analysis of its news finding suggest. “Attempts by Trump world, Fox News, and other affiliated interests to try to turn the Russia news back onto Hillary Clinton…
And 27% (+5) want it abolished completely Maybe its down to the Brexit-induced greater focus on constitutional affairs but support for overhauling the second chamber has soared over the past two years – from 48% backing partly- or fully-elected upper house in 2015, to 63% now, according to polling by BMG Research commissioned by the Electoral Reform Society. The poll found that 27% thought the second chamber should be abolished – up from 22% in 2015 – while only 10%…
The biggest current political betting markets on whether Trump is going to survive and him being there at the end of 2020 is looking a touch less likely with his campaign boss, Paul Manafort, due to make a first appearance later today. On Betfair Trump not making it to the end of his term is now a 53% chance. In broad terms the charges are that Manafort oversaw a money-laundering scheme involving more than $75 million from pro-Russia political groups….
Betdata.io The political day in the UK has been dominated by the Westminster harassment allegations and the spreadsheet listing the names of MPs, including ministers, said to have committed inappropriate behaviour. Whether this has driven the changes in the next CON leader betting I don’t know. The chart based on Betfair last trades at 2100 GMT is above. The trend has been moving away from the ex-mayor since the election when he stood as a 30% chance. The problem with…