Betting on the Alabama senate race

Betting on the Alabama senate race

If a self confessed pussy grabber can win Alabama then so should Roy Moore. Up to a few days ago it seemed the most exciting thing in the Alabama senate race would be the Republican primary, which culminated with the Donald Trump endorsed candidate Luther Strange being defeated by Roy Moore, then a story broke earlier on this week when a woman accused Roy Moore of initiating sexual conduct with her when she was 14 years old and he was 32. A…

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LAB’s most successful election winner the latest to question why Corbyn’s party isn’t further ahead

LAB’s most successful election winner the latest to question why Corbyn’s party isn’t further ahead

Tony Blair: 'Labour should be 20 points ahead in polls' https://t.co/DS8q4dkCM6 — BBC Politics (@BBCPolitics) November 11, 2017 The record suggests that when LAB’s ahead the Tories are being understated Tony Blair is the person of course, that people like Team Corbyn never like even to acknowledge even though he’s the one living LAB leader who has been an election winner. In fact he’s the only leader never to have lost a general election. One of the points I like…

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Sir Robert Peel and the Corn Laws – the ghost that haunts Theresa May

Sir Robert Peel and the Corn Laws – the ghost that haunts Theresa May

There is a way to avoid a Crash Brexit – but it’ll destroy May, her party and trust All parties of any age have ghosts that haunt them: spectres from disasters of the past so great that they dare not be forgotten yet dare not be truly remembered either. Indeed, they may not really be remembered in detail at all; their legacy today lying not in memory or even mythology but in the culture and behaviour that evolved to ward…

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Local By-Election Review : November 9th 2017

Local By-Election Review : November 9th 2017

Limestone Peak on High Peak (Con defence) Result: Con 261 (54% +4% on last time), Lab 133 (27% unchanged on last time), Lib Dem 58 (12% no candidate last time), Green 34 (7% no candidate last time) (No UKIP candidate this time -23%) Conservative HOLD with a majority of 128 (27%) on a swing of 2% from Labour to Conservative Buckley, Bistre West on Flintshire (Lab defence) Result: Con 59 (8% no candidate last time), Lab 398 (54% +5% on…

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For the 3rd successive month YouGov Brexit tracker has “wrong to leave” in lead

For the 3rd successive month YouGov Brexit tracker has “wrong to leave” in lead

The chart shows the latest YouGov Brexit tracker in which the question is whether those polled think that in insight it was wrong or right for Britain to have voted to leave EU. This is not asking how people would vote in a new referendum or whether the Brexit process should be stopped. Keiran Pedley has suggested that the use of the word “wrong” might be influencing the response which is why this result can be different from other polls…

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The first poll of November finds a tad of comfort for Mrs. May and raises questions of LAB

The first poll of November finds a tad of comfort for Mrs. May and raises questions of LAB

YouGov/Times carried out Tues/Wed CON 40%= LAB 43%+1 LD 6%-2 YouGov Times poll “best PM” ratings TMay 34%+1 Corbyn 31%-2 DK 35% YouGov Times poll – should TMay stand down? Should 32% -6 Should not 42%+3 Changes on month ago 44% tell YouGov Times poll that TMay should sack Boris against 26% saying she should keep him. Rest of sample don’t know With Mrs. May having to say goodbye to two of her 22 cabinet ministers in less than a…

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The big question is how much Corbyn’s LAB can capitalise on the Tory turmoil

The big question is how much Corbyn’s LAB can capitalise on the Tory turmoil

Will the red team start to replicate its 2012 polling performance With the Tory difficulties that appear to mount by the day the time has come surely for Corbyn’s LAB to make significant advances in the polls. What’s been quite striking since June when LAB exceeded expectations is how the gap between the two main parties has remained relatively constant and on the low side. There’s been the odd poll showing a 6 point gap but mostly it has been…

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