Why the Tory plotters wanting to oust May need have no worries about letting Corbyn in

Why the Tory plotters wanting to oust May need have no worries about letting Corbyn in

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A new CON leader WILL NOT mean an early general election With the Sunday newspaper reports that the CON MPs plotting an early retirement for Mrs May being just 8 MPs short of the 48 required for a confidence vote we could be very close to a formal move against Mrs May. One of the big arguments that May backers and the Tory whips are apparently making to MPs is that if she goes early then it heightens the risk…

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This tweet epitomises why betting on Donald Trump related markets is so difficult

This tweet epitomises why betting on Donald Trump related markets is so difficult

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Why would Kim Jong-un insult me by calling me "old," when I would NEVER call him "short and fat?" Oh well, I try so hard to be his friend – and maybe someday that will happen! — Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) November 12, 2017 Kim Jong Un called Trump a "lunatic old man" who might start a "nuclear war." Trump let "lunatic" and "nuclear war" slide and complained about "old." pic.twitter.com/UM6OlqYCOi — Daniel Dale (@ddale8) November 12, 2017 Given Donald…

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Betting on the Alabama senate race

Betting on the Alabama senate race

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If a self confessed pussy grabber can win Alabama then so should Roy Moore. Up to a few days ago it seemed the most exciting thing in the Alabama senate race would be the Republican primary, which culminated with the Donald Trump endorsed candidate Luther Strange being defeated by Roy Moore, then a story broke earlier on this week when a woman accused Roy Moore of initiating sexual conduct with her when she was 14 years old and he was 32. A…

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LAB’s most successful election winner the latest to question why Corbyn’s party isn’t further ahead

LAB’s most successful election winner the latest to question why Corbyn’s party isn’t further ahead

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Tony Blair: 'Labour should be 20 points ahead in polls' https://t.co/DS8q4dkCM6 — BBC Politics (@BBCPolitics) November 11, 2017 The record suggests that when LAB’s ahead the Tories are being understated Tony Blair is the person of course, that people like Team Corbyn never like even to acknowledge even though he’s the one living LAB leader who has been an election winner. In fact he’s the only leader never to have lost a general election. One of the points I like…

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Sir Robert Peel and the Corn Laws – the ghost that haunts Theresa May

Sir Robert Peel and the Corn Laws – the ghost that haunts Theresa May

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There is a way to avoid a Crash Brexit – but it’ll destroy May, her party and trust All parties of any age have ghosts that haunt them: spectres from disasters of the past so great that they dare not be forgotten yet dare not be truly remembered either. Indeed, they may not really be remembered in detail at all; their legacy today lying not in memory or even mythology but in the culture and behaviour that evolved to ward…

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Local By-Election Review : November 9th 2017

Local By-Election Review : November 9th 2017

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Limestone Peak on High Peak (Con defence) Result: Con 261 (54% +4% on last time), Lab 133 (27% unchanged on last time), Lib Dem 58 (12% no candidate last time), Green 34 (7% no candidate last time) (No UKIP candidate this time -23%) Conservative HOLD with a majority of 128 (27%) on a swing of 2% from Labour to Conservative Buckley, Bistre West on Flintshire (Lab defence) Result: Con 59 (8% no candidate last time), Lab 398 (54% +5% on…

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For the 3rd successive month YouGov Brexit tracker has “wrong to leave” in lead

For the 3rd successive month YouGov Brexit tracker has “wrong to leave” in lead

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The chart shows the latest YouGov Brexit tracker in which the question is whether those polled think that in insight it was wrong or right for Britain to have voted to leave EU. This is not asking how people would vote in a new referendum or whether the Brexit process should be stopped. Keiran Pedley has suggested that the use of the word “wrong” might be influencing the response which is why this result can be different from other polls…

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