Richard Nabavi says EU leaders should remember European history

Richard Nabavi says EU leaders should remember European history

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Excessive reparations aren’t a good idea Angela Merkel might not, just at the moment, be giving Brexit her full attention, given the difficulty of converting the results of Germany’s September election into a viable coalition government. Nonetheless, Brexit is a big problem for her and for the other EU27 leaders, and one which cannot simply be ignored. European, and especially German, history has important lessons which they should heed. In 1806, Frederick William III of Prussia went to war against…

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DDavis drops sharply in the next CON leader betting following reports that he might quit

DDavis drops sharply in the next CON leader betting following reports that he might quit

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And he’s now being backed for next Cabinet exit A report in the Telegraph about the frustration that BrexSec DDavis is having with his job has prompted big changes in two betting markets – next CON leader and next Cabinet exit. Under the heading “Exclusive: David Davis could quit because ‘he is being frozen out on Brexit strategy’ by civil servants”. the paper’s Christopher Hope reports: “.David Davis could walk out on his job as Britain’s lead negotiator on Brexit…

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The Electoral Commission’s investigation into Leave’s funding could halt Brexit

The Electoral Commission’s investigation into Leave’s funding could halt Brexit

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The door to an exit from Brexit might just have opened Butterflies are beloved of writers of alternate history and counterfactuals. The notion that but for the eddies created by the meanderings of an individual butterfly, a hurricane would (or would not) have developed is as old as it is misleading; there are many butterflies, there are few hurricanes and there is precious little connection from the one to the other. It’s a curious example of an argument reduced to…

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Local By-Election Review : November 17th 2017

Local By-Election Review : November 17th 2017

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Kirkley on Waveney (Lab defence) Result: Con 217 (28% +7% on last time), Lab 374 (48% +12% on last time), Lib Dem 84 (11% no candidate last time), UKIP 78 (10% -10% on last time), Green 30 (4% -5% on last time) (No Independent candidate this time -15%) Labour HOLD with a majority of 157 (20%) on a swing of 2.5% from Con to Lab St. Margaret’s on Waveney (Lab defence) Result: Con 487 (42% +12% on last time), Lab…

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Jacob Rees-Mogg now clear betting favourite to be next CON leader

Jacob Rees-Mogg now clear betting favourite to be next CON leader

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The history of the Tory party is that favourites rarely make it The latest betting chart from Betdata.io is above and shows Jacob Rees-Mogg now clear favourite to succeed TMay but a 14% chance is not that strong. He’s the third Tory to have been favourite since the general election and who knows others could follow. My first ever bet as a 16 year old (I went into a bookie wearing my school blazer and yes I was breaking the…

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TMay’s plan to enshrine the Brexit date in law looks set to fail

TMay’s plan to enshrine the Brexit date in law looks set to fail

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The big Brexit bill showdown at Westminster looks set to be TMay’s plan to enshrine the precise date and time of the exit in the Bill that’s going through Parliament at the moment. The Times is reporting that there was a stormy meeting with rebel Tory MPs earlier in the week and that this might have to be toned down even though perhaps 7 Labour MPs could back it. Those against say it would tie the Government’s hand in negotiations….

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New “media trust” polling finds the BBC top and the Sun bottom

New “media trust” polling finds the BBC top and the Sun bottom

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I’m sure people will correct meif I’m wrong but I think this polling is a first. We see from time to time several different forms of “trust” polling but as far as I can recall these latest findings from Ipsos MORI covering broadcast, the press and the internet is new. For those who follow politics closely the close relationship between media and politicians is something that is raised all the time especially the way the former can have a huge…

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