Marf on the Latest from Sexminster: Social Mobility Failure
The Porn Legacy: Theresa May’s aides want Damian Green to quit
The Porn Legacy: Mrs May's aides, including her Chief of Staff, want Damian Green to quit.https://t.co/r1GXdkHLM6 pic.twitter.com/xDGMx0XZyw — TSE (@TSEofPB) December 3, 2017 How The Porn Legacy & The Porn Ultimatum could have an impact on Brexit The Sunday Times report Theresa May’s senior aides want Damian Green to quit to spare the prime minister the pain of sacking him or the embarrassment of clearing him of wrongdoing. Government sources say senior figures in Downing Street — including the chief…
Your regular reminder that laying the favourite in the next Tory leader market is usually very profitable
Ignoring the polls and laying the favourite for the next Tory leader has been consistently a profitable route for nearly half a century. The picture above is from ConHome’s regular polling on the next Tory leader from October 2015, Osborne would lead for five months in a row, yet he failed to become David Cameron’s successor. Now people might argue Osborne’s prominent role in the Remain campaign put the kibosh on him succeeding David Cameron but he’s not the first…
The most accurate pollster at the general election gives Labour an 8% lead and a majority of 10
Tonight’s @Survation poll.LAB 45% (+1) CON 37% (-1) LD 6% (-1) UKIP 4% (NC) SNP 3% (NC) GRE 1%. Changes since Oct. Fieldwork Thurs/Fri. pic.twitter.com/ijJ1cIWusB — TSE (@TSEofPB) December 2, 2017 From May to December, the chart that sums up British politics in 2017. Since May the Tories down 10% and Labour up 15% @survation finds. pic.twitter.com/9pc544TVwi — TSE (@TSEofPB) December 2, 2017 Interesting @Survation finds Which of these do you believe would be best for the UK economy? Britain…
Bad news for Damian Green, the police have a 110% lead on net trust ratings over government ministers
Movers in @IpsosMORI veracity index since 1983: Clergy down, but civil servants, union officials, professors, police, business leaders and journalists all up https://t.co/eo2rUPk1lA pic.twitter.com/Ffa3WhMgNk — Gideon Skinner (@GideonSkinner) November 30, 2017 I like the Ipsos MORI veracity index, because they’ve been polling on it since 1983 so we can see the long term trends and put the current figures into context. In light of current events involving Damian Green, in the court of public of opinion the First Secretary of…
Damian Green’s computer is none of our business
This has unhealthy echoes of the Plebgate affair Why would former policemen leak details of an investigation that didn’t result in a prosecution (never mind a conviction), which took place nine years ago and where the details were incidental to the alleged act being investigated? The answer to that is, of course, entirely speculative. It is also to a large degree irrelevant. If there was evidence of criminal wrongdoing, they should have acted at the time. If there wasn’t, they…
Local By-Election Review : November 30th 2017 and November 2017
Maidstone North on Maidstone (Con defence) Result: Con 364 (26% -6% on last time), Lab 270 (19% +8% on last time), Lib Dem 719 (51% +20% on last time), Green 47 (3% -2% on last time) (No UKIP candidate this time -20%) Liberal Democrat GAIN from Conservative with a majority of 355 (25%) on a swing of 13% from Con to Lib Dem Westway on Tanbridge (Lib Dem defence) Result: Con 239 (26% -3% on last time), Lab 118 (13%…