For the first time Scots CON leader, RDavidson, hints that Westminster might be a possiblity

For the first time Scots CON leader, RDavidson, hints that Westminster might be a possiblity

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Scots CON leader Ruth Davidson says she would consider standing to be an MP in future. https://t.co/YVUXkiT7Ts — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 12, 2017 The first step to her becoming leader? The woman who saved TMay’s bacon on June 8th, Scots CON leader Ruth Davidson, has hinted that becoming a Westminster MP might just be a possibility. For a very long time Davidson has figured highly in the betting and in surveys of Tory members. There’s little doubt that it…

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For the first time since GE2017 consecutive polls have Corbyn’s Labour behind

For the first time since GE2017 consecutive polls have Corbyn’s Labour behind

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His ambivalence over Brexit impedes LAB on the biggest issue Two Westminster voting intention polls in the past 24 hours have both got the COM in the lead and of course LAB in second place. This is the first time since the general election that consecutive polls have showed this. Labour’s real problem is that it is failing to have a clear distinctive voice that resonates with the vast numbers of Labour voters Who are strongly for remain. Brexit is…

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The great Alabama polling Gamble. Robo calls v human interviewers

The great Alabama polling Gamble. Robo calls v human interviewers

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RCP Above is the latest polling table from Real Clear Politics with surveys on today’s special senate race in Alabama where the Republican candidate is Roy Moore – the man who has been accused of sexual abuse against girls as young as 14. As can be seen the surveys give a totally mixed view of what is likely to happen ranging from Moore 9% ahead to the astonishing Fox News poll that came out yesterday afternoon with a Democrat lead…

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It’s not easy being Green but he’s expected to be cleared on Wednesday

It’s not easy being Green but he’s expected to be cleared on Wednesday

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Damian Green will keep his job as First Minister, I am told by three well-placed sources. There should be confirmation on Wednesday https://t.co/WqEN3lAE3z — Robert Peston (@Peston) December 11, 2017 Mrs May’s week looks to keep on getting better. Robert Peston reports I am told by three well-placed sources that Theresa May’s deputy, the First Secretary of State Damian Green, will be informed on Wednesday by the Cabinet Office and his boss the PM that he does not need to…

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Could the first by-election of the 2017 Parliament be at Ashford in Kent?

Could the first by-election of the 2017 Parliament be at Ashford in Kent?

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One of the problems about running a website dedicated to betting on politics is that we need things on which we can gamble where we’re going to get a result in the not too distant future. The past year has been helped by a couple of unexpected by-elections and of course Mrs May’s decision in April to go to the country for a general election. We have also had some interesting overseas elections including the ones in France, the Netherlands,…

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With the Alabama polls showing the Farage-backed Moore 3.8% ahead the betting makes him an 83% chance

With the Alabama polls showing the Farage-backed Moore 3.8% ahead the betting makes him an 83% chance

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What Alabama's Senior Senator thinks of the man Farage is campaigning for in Tuesday crucial election https://t.co/GiUQ9ZuUwP — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 10, 2017 The big political event this week is tomorrow’s special election in Alabama to choose the next senator. This is critically important because currently the split in the Senate is 52 Republican to 48 Democrat. If the controversial, Moore who has been accused of having sex with girls as young a 14,loses then that would become 51-49…

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Nick Robinson says the “very widespread expectation in Westminster is that Damian Green will resign in the next few days”

Nick Robinson says the “very widespread expectation in Westminster is that Damian Green will resign in the next few days”

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I’m smelling toast. https://t.co/LQg5efbbcU pic.twitter.com/yLRYCbhBmN — TSE (@TSEofPB) December 10, 2017 After her best week as PM, it might be back to the status quo for Mrs May. The Sunday Times are reporting that A male associate of Damian Green has approached the Cabinet Office inquiry into the conduct of the deputy prime minister and spoken in support of the woman who had accused the politician of sexual misconduct. The man, who works in a sensitive position and does not want…

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It is time to salute the brilliance of the visionary that is Diane Abbott

It is time to salute the brilliance of the visionary that is Diane Abbott

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Another reminder not to dismiss seemingly outlandish political predictions A year ago this weekend Diane Abbott made this prediction Labour will be level-pegging with the Conservatives within a year, Diane Abbott has said amid more woeful polling for Jeremy Corbyn’s party. Labour slumped to fourth place in the Sleaford and North Hykeham by-election this week, while the Conservatives enjoyed a 17-point lead over the official opposition in a YouGov survey on Friday. The Shadow Home Secretary suggested the party’s recent poor showing…

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