Making Amber Rudd Tory Leader & Prime Minister might be the only way to ensure she holds her seat.

Making Amber Rudd Tory Leader & Prime Minister might be the only way to ensure she holds her seat.

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Every Tory leader since WWII has increased the Tory share of the vote in their constituency in their first general election as leader except Mrs May It appears Amber Rudd’s majority of 346 in Hastings & Rye is seen as a bar on her being Theresa May’s successor as some Tories don’t want the symbolic moment of the next general election to be the Tory PM losing their seat. Nor do they want their leader spending most of the campaign…

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Jacob Rees-Mogg might not even be a Tory MP at the time of the next Tory leadership contest

Jacob Rees-Mogg might not even be a Tory MP at the time of the next Tory leadership contest

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.@Jacob_Rees_Mogg on transition deal: “We cannot be a colony of the EU for two years from 2019 to 2021, accepting new laws that are made without any say-so from the British people, parliament or government…that is being a vassal state of the EU” #newsnight pic.twitter.com/PVMWYDnrgB — BBC Newsnight (@BBCNewsnight) December 15, 2017 Could JRM be without the Tory whip at the time of the next leadership contest? One of the reasons I’m laying Jacob Rees-Mogg in the next Tory leader/PM…

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Farage’s man’s refusal to admit defeat means Betfair Alabama punters won’t get their winnings this side of Xmas

Farage’s man’s refusal to admit defeat means Betfair Alabama punters won’t get their winnings this side of Xmas

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It is now 5 days since the white supremacist, Roy Moore, lost the special election in Alabama for the US Senate. The vote margin of 1.5% was in excess of that which is allowed under state law for a losing candidate to call for a recount. The winner, the Democrat, is widely regarded as such and there is no suggestion anywhere that the result can be overturned. All the focus now is on the political consequences of the GOP position…

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As we edge towards to the year end three seasonal political betting tips

As we edge towards to the year end three seasonal political betting tips

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At the end of a tumultuous year, some early thoughts for 2018 and beyond Date of the Next UK election: 2022, 5/2 SkyBet In one sense, this is a great bet. Yes, there’s a lot that could happen over the next four and a bit years but the FTPA makes it hard for an early election to be forced unless the government wants to, and after the experience of this last year, why would it? If this last week has…

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Local By-Election Results : December 14th 2017 and December Summary

Local By-Election Results : December 14th 2017 and December Summary

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Bradwell on Newcastle under Lyme (Lab defence) Result: Con 360 (46% +22% on last time), Lab 396 (51% +5% on last time), Lib Dem 25 (3% unchanged on last time) (No UKIP candidate this time -23%, No Green candidate this time -3%, No Independent candidate this time -1%) Labour HOLD with a majority of 36 (5%) on a swing of 8.5% from Lab to Con Newchapel on Newcastle under Lyme (Lab defence) Result: Con 216 (43% -7% on last time),…

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To get the tone right it has to come from the top

To get the tone right it has to come from the top

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Labour MP @DavidLammy recorded £2,713.25 worth of flights and hospitality for a trip to Washington D.C in September 2017 funded by George Soros' Open Society Foundation. https://t.co/DIgAukz0co ??? https://t.co/CO80DOrzgh pic.twitter.com/DVWb7QJ5ok — LEAVE.EU ?? (@LeaveEUOfficial) November 16, 2017 Cyclefree on why this is so important During the 1983 campaign, Saatchi suggested a poster showing Michael Foot on Hampstead Heath with his walking stick looking like a scruffy old man and the caption “Even Pensioners are Better Off under the Conservatives”. Thatcher…

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The real problem for TMay from last night’s vote could be when the Brexit bill goes to the Lords

The real problem for TMay from last night’s vote could be when the Brexit bill goes to the Lords

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The revolt could give their Lordships more confidence to make their own amendments James Forsyth’s latest Spectator podcast makes a very good point about one consequence of last night’s Commons rebellion – it will make it much harder for the bill to get through the Upper House unamended. It is clear that there is a fairly strong majority amongst against Brexit amongst peers but the government always felt that if Lords received the bill which had not been altered against…

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