Meanwhile a slight increase in approval for the handling of Brexit negotiations but even less confidence about what’ll happen

Meanwhile a slight increase in approval for the handling of Brexit negotiations but even less confidence about what’ll happen

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In what I think is the first published political polling of 2018 the latest ORB Brexit trackers are out. There had been much expectation following the success of Theresa May’s talks in Brussels last month that this would lead to some improvement in the ratings. Well there has been a little bit of movement on the approval of the Brexit negotiations but nothing much and well within the margin of error. The other traffic tracker on the public’s Expectations what’s…

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Reshuffling the TMay way – a cock-up over Grayling that will dominate the media narrative

Reshuffling the TMay way – a cock-up over Grayling that will dominate the media narrative

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BBC confirming Grayling appointment but advisers saying its speculation and he hasn't been to no10 yet. The Conservatives had tweeted a congrats, though its now disappeared. What is going on!? pic.twitter.com/8GDc0RE4kS — Anushka Asthana (@GuardianAnushka) January 8, 2018 This is making her conference speech look good

And so to re-shuffle day unless the media’s being very badly misled

And so to re-shuffle day unless the media’s being very badly misled

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At least it’ll divert attention from the Toby Young Tweets I can’t remember a reshuffle that has been trailed as long this one. On Saturday David Herdson very rightly set out the reasons why Theresa May should not be holding a reshuffle so soon after the general election. There have been others, like former Cameron PR boss, Craig Oliver, saying that the worst thing that a PM can do is let everybody know that a reshuffle is happening. Far far…

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Betting on the year of Trump’s impeachment

Betting on the year of Trump’s impeachment

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The Democrats might not have the votes to convict but politically it might be helpful for them if the GOP vote to clear Trump. Paddy Power have a market up on the year that Donald Trump is impeached. The Paddy Power terms are very clear, this bet doesn’t require the Senate to vote to convict, just the House of Representatives to vote to successfully impeach The current polls indicate that the Democrats are on course to take the House later…

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It’s going to be a blue Monday for some cabinet ministers as Mrs May brings in a new order with a reshuffle

It’s going to be a blue Monday for some cabinet ministers as Mrs May brings in a new order with a reshuffle

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https://twitter.com/SebastianEPayne/status/949767988772732928 Mrs May has an uncanny ability to go out of her way to step on banana skins Today’s Sunday Times report that Mrs May will reshuffle her cabinet on Monday and the junior ranks on Tuesday. Theresa May will move or sack at least six members of her cabinet in a reshuffle tomorrow designed to refresh her top team. An aide said she wanted to “make sure the government reflects the modern and diverse country” we live in. Boris…

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If LAB’s vulnerable on Brexit how come the majority of its GE17 gains from CON were in Leave areas?

If LAB’s vulnerable on Brexit how come the majority of its GE17 gains from CON were in Leave areas?

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And how come that the majority of CON gains were in Remain areas? One of the ongoing narratives over the past year has been that Labour is particularly vulnerable on Brexit because about two-thirds of its constituencies voted leave in the referendum in June 2016. This has continued even though Labour made inroads into the Conservative base on June 8th and only lost 5 seats. What is interesting is looking at the referendum outcomes in the 28 seats that Labour…

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Why TMay should wait to reshuffle her cabinet

Why TMay should wait to reshuffle her cabinet

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There is a good reason why PMs do not reshuffle only 6 months after a GE One of the easier predictions I thought I’d made in a twitter string earlier this week was that Theresa May wouldn’t engage in a voluntary major reshuffle of her cabinet this year. Within two hours of me doing so, the political twittersphere was alive with speculation and supposedly informed comment that just such a reshuffle was imminent – talk that Number Ten did little…

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After Toby Young the focus moves to some of BoJo’s writing about women and gay people

After Toby Young the focus moves to some of BoJo’s writing about women and gay people

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Now BoJo's past articles being looked up with comments about 'hot totty' and 'tank-topped bumboys' https://t.co/83fp35KFxO — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 5, 2018 Could it hurt his CON leadership chances? Latest CON leadership betting with BoJo in strong 2nd place pic.twitter.com/73bbWkuqDa — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 5, 2018 Mike Smithson Follow @MSmithsonPB Tweet