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Tonight’s Trump news – the payoff just before WH2016 and the Donald urinal

12/1/2018 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

NEW: A lawyer for Donald Trump arranged a $130,000 payment to a former adult-film star a month before the 2016 election as part of an agreement that precluded her from publicly discussing an alleged sexual encounter with Mr. Trump, per people familiar.https://t.co/KZhdex7UKE — erica orden (@eorden) January 12, 2018 After Trump's "sh*thole" remarks yesterday, it's time this picture got another airing. pic.twitter.com/txKJ2X5Sq0 — Guy de Jonquières (@guydej1) January 12, 2018

How Britain should play the Trump card without folding or upping the ante

12/1/2018 Editor Comments 0 Comment

A guest slot from Julian Glassford The vertiginous rise of the new champion of the alt-right in 2016 prompted a palpable blend of bafflement and consternation among the political elite right around the globe. Few dared even imagine that Donald Trump would triumph over his wily, experienced, and altogether far more internationally acceptable rival in the US presidential election. Indeed, most appeared caught almost completely off-guard and, a year on, none have yet managed to figure out quite how to…

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Marf on TMay’s big idea – the war on plastic waste

12/1/2018 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

She needs to be careful that it doesn’t become a “cones hotline” If the object was to move on from the bungling of the reshuffle then Theresa May’s remarkable move on plastic waste has certainly achieved that. For this is something that will affect almost everyone certainly those who have to shop and, no doubt, most people have a view. For the reshuffle simply highlighted to the world what a weak position she was in and that there is little…

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Alastair Meeks on predicting politics better

11/1/2018 TSE Comments 0 Comment

“How could I have known?” is the cry of palookas at the card tables everywhere. It’s a cry that’s been heard much in political circles in the last few years. In short order, David Cameron won an overall majority in 2015, Leave won the EU referendum in June 2016, Donald Trump won the presidential election in November 2016 and Theresa May lost her overall majority in June last year. None of these events had been expected by the pundits. But…

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Farage’s surprise backing could put a second Brexit referendum on the agenda

11/1/2018 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

EXCLUSIVE – Nigel Farage says "just maybe I’m reaching the point of thinking that we should have a second referendum on EU membership".@Nigel_Farage | @Matthew_Wright | #wrightstuff pic.twitter.com/T0fROToskr — The Wright Stuff (@5WrightStuff) January 11, 2018 Probably the biggest development this morning has been the comments by the former UKIP leader, Nigel Farage, in a tv interview about a second referendum on Brexit. Generally up until now the only people advocating a second vote at those who are very strongly…

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NEW PB / Polling Matters podcast: Reshuffles, Oprah and exclusive polling on Brexit and trust

11/1/2018 TSE Comments 0 Comment

The PB / Polling Matters podcast returns for a new year with a new format. The podcast starts with Keiran Pedley and Leo Barasi discussing the latest news stories from the past week. Leo talks about this week’s reshuffle and the recent hiring and resignation of Toby Young and what it means for the Tories. Keiran then gives his impression on the latest goings on in Trump-land and whether Oprah could really run for president. Keiran and Leo then unveil…

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First Winfrey – Trump polling has Oprah 10 points ahead

10/1/2018 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

Boondocks And she’s a favourability rating of 55% New polling just out this afternoon from the right-leaning pollster Rasmussen has a big boost for TV personality, Oprah Winfrey who has now entered, though not the race, the frame for WH20020. This is from the pollster: “TV personality Oprah Winfrey is the likely winner over President Trump if the 2020 election were held today, but there are a lot of undecideds. The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds…

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The reshuffle has left TMay weaker but has it hastened her departure?

10/1/2018 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

There’s still no obvious alternative The former shadow CON minister and head of ConHome, Paul Goodman, has given his damning verdict on the reshuffle under the heading “The worst-handled reshuffle in recent history – perhaps ever”. This, of course, follows other PM “set pieces” like her October conference speech and the GE17 campaign that didn’t go according to plan. He highlights that “for several days, the media was full of stories about why the Prime Minister didn’t rate Justine Greening….

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