Just launched new pollster featuring Martin Boon and Joe Twyman formerly of ICM and YouGov

Just launched new pollster featuring Martin Boon and Joe Twyman formerly of ICM and YouGov

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Welcome to Deltapoll Today sees the launch of a brand new opinion research company, Deltapoll, which brings together names and faces that many people on this website might be familiar with. Joe Twyman has for years been the primary face of public opinion in the UK in his position as YouGov’s head of political research, and Martin Boon spend 23 years at ICM, delivering polls that have been relentlessly reported in these pages. Our third founder, Paul Flatters, is also…

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Trump ups the ante in Pennsylvania 18 staking a lot on his man winning tomorrow’s special election

Trump ups the ante in Pennsylvania 18 staking a lot on his man winning tomorrow’s special election

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A Republican hold would be big boost to the President In the early hours of Wednesday morning, UK time, I expect to be glued to CNN coverage of the results in the Pennsylvania 18th District special election. This is proving to be a massive battle and the outcome looks set to frame the narrative of how the November midterms are seen. The President is very aware of this and at the weekend made another highly publicised big visit to the…

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Peace talks for our time, but where?

Peace talks for our time, but where?

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The deal with North Korea is very much in the making and will be, if completed, a very good one for the World. Time and place to be determined. — Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) March 10, 2018 Will Trump have his Nixon in China moment? Following the news about the summit between Donald Trump and Kim Jong-un Ladbrokes have a market up on the location of the summit. It is well noted that Kim Jong-un is very paranoid, particularly about his own…

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Betting on who will the the next Speaker of the House of Commons

Betting on who will the the next Speaker of the House of Commons

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Newsnight has learned of allegations that the Speaker of the House of Commons, John Bercow, mistreated an employee #newsnight pic.twitter.com/3qV8rtykGP — BBC Newsnight (@BBCNewsnight) March 9, 2018 The Sunday Times say 'With allegations of bullying by MPs sweeping Westminster, however, the Tory MP Andrew Bridgen will table a motion of no-confidence in the Speaker tomorrow.' https://t.co/gMwCfw6a1K — TSE (@TSEofPB) March 11, 2018 Laying Jacob Rees-Mogg as next Speaker is my strategy Following the allegations against Speaker Bercow the Tory MP…

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More want a softer Brexit, a 2nd referendum or Brexit abandoned completely than back government’s current strategy

More want a softer Brexit, a 2nd referendum or Brexit abandoned completely than back government’s current strategy

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YouGov’s 4 part question sees a shift over 7 weeks The above from the latest YouGov poll has not received much attention – what voters now say what they want on Brexit. Clearly this will evolve as thing progress. All this presents Team TMay with a problem as she tries  head off the growing head of steam led by Rees-Mogg – current favourite to become next PM. Latest Brexit betting has 58% on the UK still being in the EU…

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MPs’ proxy voting can and should go further

MPs’ proxy voting can and should go further

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Catering for extended absences would mean fewer by-elections though Parliament took another small step towards the 21st Century last month, when it voted without opposition to allow MPs who are new parents to nominate a colleague to cast proxy votes on their behalf, meaning that they can more meaningfully take maternity or paternity leave without having to worry too much about the effect that doing so would have on the government’s majority. Some might argue that MPs occupy an unusual…

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Another day and Corbyn’s detachment on Brexit from the vast majority of LAB voters seems amazing

Another day and Corbyn’s detachment on Brexit from the vast majority of LAB voters seems amazing

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WATCH: #Brexit must stop immigrants being used to undercut wages, @jeremycorbyn tells Scottish Labour conference #ScotLab18 More: https://t.co/UqDWQEpoae pic.twitter.com/fXp6BRy6OD — STV News (@STVNews) March 9, 2018 Understandably, a lot of people will focus on the wages bit, but the more interesting bit is that this, overall, is an explicitly left Eurosceptic speech. https://t.co/MeVtLfaVBy — Stephen Bush (@stephenkb) March 9, 2018 Grim.He thinks he's run down the clock long enough to ensure a hard Brexit so he doesn't have to lie…

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Tories lose all FIVE seats they were defending in party’s worst night of local elections since TMay became PM

Tories lose all FIVE seats they were defending in party’s worst night of local elections since TMay became PM

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But LAB only makes net gain of one Farnworth on Bolton (Lab defence) Result: Con 153 (6% -3% on last time), Lab 969 (38% -10% on last time), Lib Dem 23 (1% -2% on last time), UKIP 169 (7% -29% on last time), Green 18 (1% -3% on last time), Residents 1,204 (47%, no candidate last time) Residents GAIN from Labour with a majority of 235 (9%) on a notional swing of 28.5% from Lab to Residents (9.5% from UKIP…

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