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More want a softer Brexit, a 2nd referendum or Brexit abandoned completely than back government’s current strategy

10/3/2018 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

YouGov’s 4 part question sees a shift over 7 weeks The above from the latest YouGov poll has not received much attention – what voters now say what they want on Brexit. Clearly this will evolve as thing progress. All this presents Team TMay with a problem as she tries head off the growing head of steam led by Rees-Mogg – current favourite to become next PM. Latest Brexit betting has 58% on the UK still being in the EU…

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MPs’ proxy voting can and should go further

10/3/2018 David Herdson Comments 0 Comment

Catering for extended absences would mean fewer by-elections though Parliament took another small step towards the 21st Century last month, when it voted without opposition to allow MPs who are new parents to nominate a colleague to cast proxy votes on their behalf, meaning that they can more meaningfully take maternity or paternity leave without having to worry too much about the effect that doing so would have on the government’s majority. Some might argue that MPs occupy an unusual…

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Another day and Corbyn’s detachment on Brexit from the vast majority of LAB voters seems amazing

9/3/2018 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

WATCH: #Brexit must stop immigrants being used to undercut wages, @jeremycorbyn tells Scottish Labour conference #ScotLab18 More: https://t.co/UqDWQEpoae pic.twitter.com/fXp6BRy6OD — STV News (@STVNews) March 9, 2018 Understandably, a lot of people will focus on the wages bit, but the more interesting bit is that this, overall, is an explicitly left Eurosceptic speech. https://t.co/MeVtLfaVBy — Stephen Bush (@stephenkb) March 9, 2018 Grim.He thinks he's run down the clock long enough to ensure a hard Brexit so he doesn't have to lie…

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Tories lose all FIVE seats they were defending in party’s worst night of local elections since TMay became PM

9/3/2018 Editor Comments 0 Comment

But LAB only makes net gain of one Farnworth on Bolton (Lab defence) Result: Con 153 (6% -3% on last time), Lab 969 (38% -10% on last time), Lib Dem 23 (1% -2% on last time), UKIP 169 (7% -29% on last time), Green 18 (1% -3% on last time), Residents 1,204 (47%, no candidate last time) Residents GAIN from Labour with a majority of 235 (9%) on a notional swing of 28.5% from Lab to Residents (9.5% from UKIP…

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Warren makes first move for a possible 2020 White House bid

9/3/2018 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

At a dinner in Washington on Wednesday high profile Massachusetts Senator, Elizabeth Warren, made what is being seen as the start of her bid to win the 2020 White House race. She announced that she is donating $5,000 to all 50 state Democratic parties in the US. She is also giving $15,000 to the national party. According to Politico:- “Warren also began laying out a national political argument, calling for the party to pick fights on consumer rights, guns, immigration…

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YouGov polling on reports of sexual harassment: The political, Brexit and gender divide

8/3/2018 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

CON voters, leavers and men are treating it less seriously Full details from the poll, published today, can be found here Mike Smithson Follow @MSmithsonPB Tweet

Until leave’s referendum expenses issues are sorted opponents will be able to cast doubt over Brexit’s legitimacy

8/3/2018 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

The overnight news that the government have refused the Electoral Commission’s desire for the sources of the DUP’s pre 2017 donations to be revealed will only add to speculation that something is amiss. What was the source of the £425k that TMay’s “supply & confidence” partners were given ahead of the referendum? In the meantime the Electoral Commission have confirmed to me that two previously announced campaign funding investigations continue – one into Leave EU and the other into the…

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How the EU hierarchy is losing supportive governments

8/3/2018 TSE Comments 0 Comment

One of the less attractive aspects of British Euroscepticism (a keenly-contested category) is the willingness of many supporters to see the imminent collapse of the EU with every electoral development around the continent. Last year, Eurosceptics were salivating at the prospect of Geert Wilders’ party topping the poll in the Dutch election. Thwarted on that front, nearly nine out of ten Leave cats who expressed a preference decided that Marine Le Pen’s election as French president would be best for…

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