To force an early election Jezza needs CON defectors – but would Tory remainers really back him?

To force an early election Jezza needs CON defectors – but would Tory remainers really back him?

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“We would force a general election” if there was a bad deal or no deal for the UK, says @jeremycorbyn #bbcsp pic.twitter.com/03Qqqodm64 — BBC Daily Politics and Sunday Politics (@daily_politics) July 1, 2018 During the weekend the Labour leader was talking about forcing an early election over Brexit. What he didn’t say was exactly how this would come about because as things stand at the moment the Commons electoral arithmetic is very much against him. While Labour has sometimes acted…

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Sajid Javid becomes the fifth CON MP to be favourite to succeed TMay since GE2017

Sajid Javid becomes the fifth CON MP to be favourite to succeed TMay since GE2017

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Chart Betdata.io Rees-Mogg now down to 3rd favourite There’s been some movement in the Betfair’s next CON leader market following the pulication at the weekend of the latest ConHome survey of party members. The big news there was that the Home Secretary, Sajid Javid, is now the favoured choice of CON members who partipate in ConHome surveys. This has had a big impact on the betting with Javid now jumping about Gove into the favourite slot. At least now the…

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Unless Moggsy has the backing of 158 CON MPs for his oust TMay move this threat is all piss and wind

Unless Moggsy has the backing of 158 CON MPs for his oust TMay move this threat is all piss and wind

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Telegraph A confidence move could make her position stronger This week is going to be all about the crunch cabinet meeting on Friday at Chequers when TMay is hoping to get agreement on Britain’s approach to Brexit. So we can expect a lot of sabre rattling like that above from Moggsy and threats of resignations and moves to oust her. The problem is that we’ve been here before. Those opposesed to the TMay approach have been briefing about resignations and…

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Three Score and Ten? Has the NHS reached the end of its natural life?

Three Score and Ten? Has the NHS reached the end of its natural life?

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On July 5th the NHS marks its 70th birthday, and the occasion will be marked by a significant financial injection as a means of life support by the Conservative government. This should keep it breathing for a while yet, but like any ageing process we should consider whether the condition is terminal, and what the objective of continued treatment is. Is the NHS a model of health care fit for the 2020’s or are there better ways of organising it…

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Fighting the last but one war. The final Brexit battle approaches

Fighting the last but one war. The final Brexit battle approaches

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https://www.youtube.com/watch?time_continue=1&v=8JOpPNra4bw That didn’t take long.  As soon as the Germans were eliminated, it suddenly occurred to the entire British media that “VAR” could, if you squinted at it hard enough, be read as if it were a German pronunciation of the word “war”.  Amazing, I know.  So “Don’t mention the VAR” made its way through the lower reaches of the press and swam upstream as far as the Times and the Telegraph.  Could you have imagined such wit?  The nation…

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BoJo – the betting favourite with a record of disappointing punters

BoJo – the betting favourite with a record of disappointing punters

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In what became the Conservative Leadership 2016, Boris Johnson was not, as we know, the winning outcome. Indeed he did not put his name forward as a candidate. The highest Betfair Exchange odds were 55% on the day after the Brexit referendum. In what became the Prime Minister after Cameron market, Johnson didn’t win yet on the Betfair Exchange next PM market on June 24th 2016 his top price rated his chances at 60%. In the currently-live market Prime Minister…

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Trump’s big deal: the Supreme Court

Trump’s big deal: the Supreme Court

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Wikimedia Commons November permitting, buying off evangelicals with nominations could change the future of America Donald Trump regards himself as the great deal-maker. As president, there’s not an awful lot of evidence to support his contention but then he’s never much been one for being overly worried about the evidence. Nearly a year and a half into his term, there’s no wall, nor any realistic prospect of one, his immigration reforms have resulted in concentration camps for children separated from…

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Former long-standing favourite to succeed TMay, Moggsy now down in third place in the betting

Former long-standing favourite to succeed TMay, Moggsy now down in third place in the betting

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Betdata.io More movement on the betting market on who will succeed TMay. For a long period over the past nine months the favourite has been the multi-millionaire who has never been a minister, Jacob Rees-Mogg. The strong pro-Brexiteer who attracted a lot of media attention has been slipping out of favour with punters as can be seen in the chart. He follows fellow old Etonican, “fuck Business” Boris who previously was the long-term favourite. The one unknown with this market…

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