Whatever you think of T May as a politician, she’s a human under a lot of pressure and given the extraordinary circumstances, that was a good speech. — Jennifer Williams (@JenWilliams_FT) October 3, 2018 Plea for party unity – again – with a warning to the Brexiteers. “If we all go off in different directions in pursuit of our own visions of the perfect Brexit – we risk ending up with no Brexit at all.” #CPC18 — Beth Rigby (@BethRigby)…
In the betting PaddyPower make it 3/10 that Brett Kavanaugh will be confirmed as Justice of the Supreme Court in 2018 and 21/10 that he won’t. The wider political dimension is how this is going to influence voters in the midterm elections next month when the Democratic party has a realistic chance of taking the House and an outside one of taking the Senate as well. Until a few hours ago Trump had been fairly guarded in how he referred…
Betdata.io With all the focus on Johnson’s big speech at the Conservative conference it was inevitable that punters would look to his leadership chances and start risking their money. Well the chart shows the prices on the Betfair Exchange over the past 48 hours and as can be seen there was a lift when he moved up to a 16% chance but that slipped back as betting interest evaporated and now it’s at a 13% chance. To put that into…
On this week’s PB / Polling Matters podcast, Keiran Pedley and Matt Singh look at recent polling by Matt on behalf of Shelter and ask ‘what’s going on in the marginals’ and ‘How important is housing politically?’ Follow this week’s guests: Follow @KeiranPedley Follow @MattSingh_ Tweet
And 4% think Farage has the same view Interesting polling from YouGov this morning on how prominent political figures are perceived to view Brexit. To me the most interesting findings are those relating to Jeremy Corbyn who is widely portrayed in parts of the media as a secret Brexit backer. The numbers here suggests that his ambivalence over the issue has really worked. No one will be really surprised by the Theresa May responses with her backing brexit by 48%…
Men support it by 49% to 40% A Quinnipiac poll just published finds finds that 48% of US voters think the U.S. Senate should reject Judge Brett Kavanaugh’s nomination to the U.S. Supreme Court, with 42% saying he should be confirmed. Those headline figures overshadow a huge gender divide with women overwhelmingly opposed and men giving Trump’s move some support. At the moment this has all been delayed by the move last Friday to defer things for a week to…
Boris Johnson 'trolls' Theresa May by running through 'field of wheat' https://t.co/8ys3sebgJk — Sky News (@SkyNews) October 1, 2018 Blow for Boris's leadership hopes in YouGov/Times poll. 57%, more than any other contender, think he'd be a poor leader,. Gove has negative rating of 56%, Hunt 47%, Rees-Mogg 40% with Javid at 30% — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 29, 2018 And latest from the betting markets Boris loses the favourite slot in the Betfair next CON leader betting pic.twitter.com/p1L8ZS1w5i —…
But is the time now running out? One of my losing bets from last year was placed during the Conservative conference after TMay’s disastrous speech that she wasn’t going to make it as leader till the end of the year. It was a surprise that she’d managed to carry on that long following her decision to call a general election three years early and the manner that she conducted that campaign. Well she did and she’s still there although her…