US midterms early voting is reaching presidential election levels in some states

US midterms early voting is reaching presidential election levels in some states

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But who’s benefiting? All the signs are that turnout is going to reach almost presidential election levels in the US midterm elections that take place on Tuesday November 6th. In many states it is possible to vote early and quite a number started the process on Tuesday with two weeks to go. Almost across the board the numbers who are availing themselves of this facility are at levels nearing, or in some cases topping. the recorded numbers casting their ballots…

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Angela’s Ashes. Germany throws its two party system on the bonfire

Angela’s Ashes. Germany throws its two party system on the bonfire

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The  German state of Hessen goes to the polls this  weekend.  Hessen has been something of a swing state between the CDU and SPD. The current state assembly has the CDU in power on 38% of the vote in a coalition with the Greens  who  won 11%. The SPD leads  the opposition with 31%. But all is not well. The large national parties are worried  by the shifting ground in German  politics. A look at recent polling shows why Both the CDU and SPD…

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Surely the time’s come for the media to treat Moggsy’s ERG boys as all piss and wind

Surely the time’s come for the media to treat Moggsy’s ERG boys as all piss and wind

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Last night they created a shocking let-down One of the problems with letting it be known that you are making threats and repeatedly not followed them through is that after a time people start to twig and cease to take you seriously. That stage, surely, has now been reached with Moggsy’s ERG boys which claims to have 80 CON MPs as active members. Given how their statements on other things have not been realised I treat that number with a…

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Many Democrats are viewing the November 6th Midterms in same way Remainers would view a second referendum

Many Democrats are viewing the November 6th Midterms in same way Remainers would view a second referendum

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The Dems lead in generic poll but will that be enough? In 2016 there were two elections which had global reverberations – Brexit and, of course, the election of Donald Trump. Both were close, both were seen as defeats for the liberal establishment and in both those on the losing side would dearly love to see the outcomes thwarted in some way. In the US Midterm election a week on Tuesday those opposed to Trump would dearly like to “clip…

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NEW PB / Polling Matters podcast. How important is the economy in driving voting intention?

NEW PB / Polling Matters podcast. How important is the economy in driving voting intention?

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On this week’s PB / Polling Matters podcast, Keiran Pedley and Leo Barasi discuss the political lay of the land as we approach the budget, what the public think about the economy (and who they trust to run it) and how important the economy is in voting intention terms in a Brexit-dominated 2018. You can listen to the podcast below: Follow this week’s guests: Follow @KeiranPedley Follow @LeoBarasi Tweet

TMay’s great current strength is that there’s little conviction that anyone else could do better

TMay’s great current strength is that there’s little conviction that anyone else could do better

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So another day of Theresa May’s leadership begins and no doubt she will be under pressure yet again by her party and maybe even the official opposition about her stance and approach to Brexit. Later she’s facing the Conservative backbench 1922 committee of which there was some overblown talk over the weekend off this being a “show trial.” That of itself illustrated the schism within the party. Well the rhetoric has been toned down a fair bit and the PM…

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