The Senate Kavanaugh hearing begins taking evidence from the woman who says she was sexually attacked by Trump’s nominee

The Senate Kavanaugh hearing begins taking evidence from the woman who says she was sexually attacked by Trump’s nominee

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BBC News Its odds-on that he’ll be confirmed All eyes in the US are on the Senate Justice committee which is taking evidence from a woman who says she was sexually assaulted by Trump’s nominee for the Supreme Court vacancy, Brett Kavanaugh. Christine Blasey Ford told the committee that Kavanaugh’s attack on her 38 years ago had left her “afraid and ashamed”. Because of the power of the Supreme Court and that its members serve for life the stakes couldn’t…

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The harsh truth for LAB is that the next General Election is in May 2022 and only the Tories have the power to hold it earlier

The harsh truth for LAB is that the next General Election is in May 2022 and only the Tories have the power to hold it earlier

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Even if there is a total CON Brexit collapse there is still the Fixed Term Parliament Act Ever since June 9th last year politics has been going through rather a strange phase. The biggest losing party, LAB, acted as though it was the winner and the main winning party, CON, acted as though it had lost. Mr Corbyn was celebrated almost wherever he went and Mrs May has had to cope with endless speculation about her future. Both are still…

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The betting chances of LAB winning the next election edge down to the lowest level since GE2017

The betting chances of LAB winning the next election edge down to the lowest level since GE2017

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Betdata.io Given that one of the ongoing themes of Labour’s conference has been the hope that there can be another GE soon I thought it might be useful to look for the first time at next general election betting. By the time we get to polling day – sometime between now and May 2022 – this market will see a large amount of activity. The only reason to be betting now is if you think the odds on your selection…

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It’s the WH2016 voter segments that said they were backing Hillary but abstained that the GOP should worry about

It’s the WH2016 voter segments that said they were backing Hillary but abstained that the GOP should worry about

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We all recall how in much of key state polling at WH2016 that Clinton was overstated thus giving us a very false impression of what was going to happen. Much of this was not down to switching but to ostensible Clinton backers not bothering to turnout. Their problem was the candidate. One of the insights I got from this excellent analysis of November’s US Midterm elections by NBC’s, Chris Matthews, is what this group of voters will do in the…

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The polling suggests that Corbyn’s onto a winner backing onshore wind power and solar

The polling suggests that Corbyn’s onto a winner backing onshore wind power and solar

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YouGov August 2018 The Tories are vulnerable on energy policy Today is Corbyn’s big speech and amongst the ideas he’ll proposing are a big promotion of solar power and onshore wind. The latter is in sharp contrast to the Tories which have sought to curb the development of this as an energy source by making it more difficult. Polling from YouGov only last month suggested that the public is supportive. It found that 62% said they would like to fit…

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NEW PB / Polling Matters podcast: Poll trends that will shape the future…education, Brexit and the politically homeless with Paula Surridge

NEW PB / Polling Matters podcast: Poll trends that will shape the future…education, Brexit and the politically homeless with Paula Surridge

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On this week’s PB / Polling Matters podcast, Keiran Pedley is joined by Paula Surridge (Senior Lecturer in Political Sociology at the University of Bristol). Keiran and Paula discuss the big trends shaping British politics, such as age, social class and education and the impact they could have on British politics in the future. Paula gives her view on whether Labour would benefit from explicitly campaigning for a second referendum on Brexit and whether there is appetite for a new…

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PB Video Analysis: The Changing Nature of Work

PB Video Analysis: The Changing Nature of Work

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In the old days, careers would be long, mortgages cheap and job titles easy to understand. But the nature of working is changing. Our grandparents would struggle to understand what we do… YouTuber, anyone? Income inequality has risen. Job security has disappeared. Is this the result of rapacious capitalists? Is it because of globalist politicians and George Soros? Or are there fundamental forces at work: do the people who employ us just know too much about our economic output? Computers,…

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