A massive Westminster day ends with TMay still in place

A massive Westminster day ends with TMay still in place

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The “bloody difficult woman” will be difficult to shift Although I disagree with her on so many things you can but admire the way she is holding on and battling forward in spite of all the obstacles and setbacks. This was always going to be a very difficult period for the Prime Minister who took over shortly after the referendum in July 2016 never more so than today. Throughout she has made as her objective ensuring that the referendum outcome…

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If TMay survives a confidence vote she’d be immune from another challenge for a year

If TMay survives a confidence vote she’d be immune from another challenge for a year

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After an extraordinary 24hrs at Westminster in which a total, as I write, of six ministers having resigned all the talk now is that Theresa May could soon be facing a confidence vote. For this to happen it requires 48 different CON MPs to write to the chairman of the 1922 committee, Graham Brady, asking for such a move to take place. Jacob Rees-Mogg has announced that he has sent a letter in and has indicated that he might support…

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Raab’s resignation sparks off huge movements on the TMay exit, next GE date & next CON leader betting markets

Raab’s resignation sparks off huge movements on the TMay exit, next GE date & next CON leader betting markets

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Punters expect TMay to go this year Raab becomes the new CON leader favourite And 2019 the year for the next general eletion The prices are based on the Betfair exchange and the charts are from Betdata.io. Mike Smithson Follow @MSmithsonPB Tweet

I just wonder if Trump could decide to call it a day and quit

I just wonder if Trump could decide to call it a day and quit

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Just be thankful you don’t work in the West Wing Away from Brexit for a moment and things do not appear to be happy in the White House. This from the excellent Political Wire For weeks this fall, an ebullient President Trump traveled relentlessly to hold raise-the-rafters campaign rallies — sometimes three a day — in states where his presence was likely to help Republicans on the ballot,” the Los Angeles Times reports. “But his mood apparently has changed as…

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Mrs. May survives the day getting cabinet backing for the deal and there’s been no Vote of Confidence move

Mrs. May survives the day getting cabinet backing for the deal and there’s been no Vote of Confidence move

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On Betfair the money goes on a 2018 TMay exit Betdata.io Well all those who were predicting that today there would be a cabinet rebellion on the Brexit deal and a possible vote of no confidence move against Mrs May have been proved wrong. Yet again the most resilient leader of recent times continues to defy political gravity. The next stage its for this to go to the House of Commons and that might not be as easy as today…

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Good news for TMay: Montgomerie’s backing suggests that the deal has a better chance of being agreed

Good news for TMay: Montgomerie’s backing suggests that the deal has a better chance of being agreed

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Founder of ConHome, @montie backs the deal. https://t.co/3T70zwhIoA — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 14, 2018 That the founder ConHome, Tim Montgomerie, has Tweeted that he’s backing the deal suggests that this is going to be less of a struggle for TMay than many thought. A couple of years ago Newsnight described him as “the most famous conservative who is not an MP” and there’s little doubt that he still has a lot of influence particularly as he as always been…

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2019 becomes favourite for year of next general election as punters ponder the EU deal

2019 becomes favourite for year of next general election as punters ponder the EU deal

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After all the waiting this is a massive day for Theresa May and for the country’s relationship with Europe. What I find amazing is the number of MPs and other commentators, declaring that this is a bad deal and they haven’t even seen the document yet. Sobeit. At the end of the day the big question will be how many MPs will be ready to put their heads above the parapet and vote for no deal with all that that…

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The Brexit deal is being put to the Cabinet one by one

The Brexit deal is being put to the Cabinet one by one

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But what are the chances of success? So the brexit process moves a step forward with a broad agreement that Theresa May now has to sell to her cabinet, then her party, and then the House of Commons. Each of these hurdles looks insurmountable but then Theresa May has got over many obstacles in the 18 months since she lost the party its majority and is determined enough to push this as hard as she is able. If Brexiteers like…

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