From Sunil Prasannan Well, just a few months ago, it seemed certain that, with a scheduled 29th March 2019 date for Brexit, the UK was done with EU elections for good. But, it looks like that we are in the EU for at least a few months more, so here we are! On the other hand, we are a political betting site, so what’s wrong with a full-blown nation-wide poll in 2019? The recent Local Elections (given that many cities and…
In Thursday's European elections it's Labour or the hard right. Don't let fear win here. pic.twitter.com/lBafANnlft — The Labour Party (@UKLabour) May 19, 2019 Maybe the problem’s that its seen a pro-Brexit party Over the weekend, there has been a flurry of apparently panicky messages coming out of the Labour Party to try to stop the seepage of support to the unequivocally pro-remain parties of the Lib Dems and the Greens. The above Tweet is the latest example. This is…
New .@YouGov – 17th May sees the CON+LAB aggregate drop below 50% CON 24% =1Lab : 24% -1BRX : 18%=LDem : 18% +2Grn : 6% -1UKIP : 2% =CHUK : 2% = — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 19, 2019 Above is the latest YouGov polling with the most extraordinary Westminster voting figures that I can recall in recent times. For four parties to be within six points of each other is extraordinary and for the CON+LAB aggregate not to exceed…
So the race is on, with likely as many contenders as at your average Grand National. Will it be a dyed in the wool Leaver? A born again or a politically convenient one? Blessed by the ERG? A Remainer? Cabinet member or backbencher? And will it even matter given the government’s tiny majority, at the DUP’s pleasure? Obsessed as they are by Brexit, Tory MPs and members have forgotten that a person’s stance on this perennially neuralgic issue is not…
New New @ComRes Euro voting intention for S Mirror / S Express finds CON on 9% seven points behind the LDs Brexit P 31% (+4)Lab 23% (-2)LD 16% (+2)Con 9% (-4)Grn 9% (-)CUK 4% (-2)SNP 4% (+1)UKIP 2% (-1)PC 1% (-) — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 18, 2019 YouGov/Datapraxis poll for the Euros Best for Britain/Hope Not Hate puts LDs in second place with the Tories on fifthBREX 34LD 17LAB 15GRE 11CON 9CHUK 4UKIP 3SNP 3PC 1Other 3 Sample size…
So much is going on in UK politics at the moment that it is hard to recall that just a month ago the new Party formed by breakaway CON and LAB MPs, Change UK, was talking about it taking over the Lib Dems. From reports at the time it considered itself to be the powerful force and were treating Cable’s party as almost supplicants in any relationship. The new grouping didn’t contest the local elections on May 2nd but their…
May’s departure and a flight to the extremes aids stopping Brexit A zombie government will bring a zombie Withdrawal Agreement back to parliament next month, and in true zombie style, it will get bashed and still not really die. Ever since the first Meaningful Vote in January, when the government lost by well over 200 votes, Theresa May has been locked in a political vice where she couldn’t countenance No Deal, couldn’t accept No Brexit but couldn’t deliver any Brexit…
? ? ? New YouGov poll of Tory members for @thetimes puts @BorisJohnson well out in front(Though he is also bottom choice for a sizeable group) – Johnson would prefer not to be frontrunner – Raab in strong position– Poor Hancock Loads more detail: https://t.co/HjTbrKZmS4 pic.twitter.com/MUQ5Ij1cS9 — Matt Chorley (@MattChorley) May 17, 2019 His biggest hurdle’s still getting through the MPs round Quick off the mark we now have the first YouGov poll of CON members following the news that…