TMay sacks the man who ran her 2016 leadership campaign
pic.twitter.com/01y6kqxyOT — Ladbrokes Politics (@LadPolitics) May 1, 2019 And the betting opens on the replacement Mike Smithson Follow @MSmithsonPB Tweet
The money goes on a 78 year old to take on a 74 year old at WH2020
Betdata.io chart of movement on the Betfair exchange I remain to be convinced by Biden With interest in Brexit itself having subsided for the moment and with the Euro elections not taking place for another three weeks the top betting markets, in terms of volume, at the moment are on the 2020 White House Race. The big question is who will the Democrats choose to take on Trump? Last week the former Obama vice president, Joe Biden, put his hat…
On the eve of LE2019 Corbyn’s LAB appears as totally divided as TMay’s Tories
https://twitter.com/jameschappers/status/1123357647573520385 How’s this going to play out tomorrow? The Tweet above might or might not be accurate but it comes at a very tricky time on the eve of this years locals. Because this years elections do not include London it has attracted for less media coverage than you’d expect. This is not unusual. The political media is based at Westminster and is very London-centric. Generally the pattern has been that the timing of the locals are put back in…
So Team Corbyn decide to take a massive gamble and IGNORE LAB voters
Corbyn and Milne's big gamble: Ignoring the LAB voters who think Brexit was wrong. How LAB voters view Brexit from YouGov pic.twitter.com/o9s38YB2Jv — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 30, 2019 And this two days before the local elections Mike Smithson Follow @MSmithsonPB Tweet
Why it’s going to be harder than many think to view the Euros as a 2nd Brexit referendum
There’s widespread confusion on where each party stands The above chart is from some new polling issued by YouGov this morning which tries to find out how voters view each party’s stance on brexit. Apart from Farage’s Brexit party some of the answers are quite extraordinary and suggest that the parties are not getting over their positions as strongly as they might be. Taking the Tories first just 37% of those polled thought it was Pro brexit with 24% being…
Tomorrow at 1800 the Peterborough recall petition closes and the count takes place that evening
The parties are on standby for a by-election After what seems to be inordinately long period of time the Peterborough recall petition is drawing to a close and tomorrow night Fiona Onasanya will learn whether she can continue as an MP or not. Even if 6,967 (10% of the electorate) have signed that would not be the end of the matter for Onasanya. She would be able to stand in the ensuing by-election though not for Labour. While this has…
The betting moves against Mayor Pete following accusations of sexual assault
BREAKING: Media Darling Buttigieg Accused of Sexual Assault https://t.co/JDWZx8qmsf — Big League Politics (@bigleaguepol) April 29, 2019 Whatever the veracity his betting odds are going to move out Given the extraordinary media coverage that Mayor Pete has been getting I had been sort of expecting something like the above Tweet to emerge. Whatever the truth of these allegations I don’t know but it it is part and parcel of political campaigns that things like this do happen. My guess is…