The attention now turns to TMay’s attendance at the 1922 committee

The attention now turns to TMay’s attendance at the 1922 committee

Comments 671 Comments

The speculation is that she’ll set out an exit timetable. This is from the Speccies, James Forsyth:- Speculation is rife that she will use the meeting to announce a timetable for her departure, though there’s no official line from Number 10 on this. I understand that Tory switchers are being told that Theresa May will go if the withdrawal agreement bill gets royal assent, which would have to be by May 22nd. This would, obviously, require meaningful vote 3 to…

Read More Read More

With a CON leadership contest perhaps imminent new Ipsos-MORI poll has good and bad news for Johnson

With a CON leadership contest perhaps imminent new Ipsos-MORI poll has good and bad news for Johnson

Comments 1 Comment

Above is a chart just issued by Ipsos Mori on its latest polling on which of a number of leading politicians appear “Prime Ministerial”. Theresa May, clearly, gets a home advantage because she is the incumbent but Corbyn will not be happy with his numbers which are the worst of all in those who were polled. Johnson has the most positive rating  of all the prospective CON leaders 24% but also has the biggest negative number  of  64%. This is…

Read More Read More

Johnson edges back to favourite on the day that TMay’s future could be decided

Johnson edges back to favourite on the day that TMay’s future could be decided

Comments 604 Comments

Betdata.io chart of movement on the Betfair exchange On the face of it a lot could be decided today that will give us a clearer view of Britain’s and Theresa May’s political Futures. The two are clearly interlinked. With even some of her most hostile opponents within the parliamentary party now supporting her deal the prime minister is facing her backbenchers this afternoon when it’s widely expected that she’ll be pressed strongly to give an indication of her exit date….

Read More Read More

The first thing Trump’s likely to do when Jo Biden finally declares is to dub the former VP “copycat”

The first thing Trump’s likely to do when Jo Biden finally declares is to dub the former VP “copycat”

Comments 430 Comments

The man who copied almost word for word a Neil Kinnock ad A new US  poll has Joe Biden beating Trump by 7% in a WH2020 match-up which puts him in the best position of all the Democrats who are seeking the nomination. In the RCP polling average he’s 5.8% ahead of his closest rival  even though he has yet to formally declare. In the betting he’s favourite although the top 4 are all within three points. Of course Biden,…

Read More Read More

What can we expect from the planned Brexit inquiry

What can we expect from the planned Brexit inquiry

Comments 625 Comments

A look at what’s happened before In January 2004 the Hutton report into Dr David Kelly’s death was awaited with anticipation. The hearings had put the actions of politicians, civil servants, journalists, senior BBC management under a forensic scrutiny they would not normally expect. The Iraq war – the inquiry’s bloody context – had turned into a desperate civil war. No WMD had been found. The sad story of a respected scientist apparently bullied to his death as part of a greater…

Read More Read More

The road to Brexit gets even more complicated

The road to Brexit gets even more complicated

Comments 230 Comments

Picture Judy Goldhill After another dramatic evening at Westminster TMay is still there but with far less control A series of Commons votes have taken place in the past hour including one that is potentially very troubling for TMay. MPs voted to take control of the Brexit process which is a big defeat for the government. On Wednesday a series of  so-called indicative votes will be held to try to to see if there’s a majority for a form of…

Read More Read More

Both TMay and Corbyn drop to record lows in YouGov’s favourability tracker

Both TMay and Corbyn drop to record lows in YouGov’s favourability tracker

Comments 668 Comments

I always feel a sense of ownership with the YouGov favourability ratings for shortly after the referendum, in 2016, I got into a  discussion with the pollster about a line of questioning that I suggested that the firm should do. My desire was favourability ratings on key figures. The first ones ran here as the PB/YouGov Favourability Ratings when TMay had a net plus 12 while Corbyn was a net minus 25. This is calculated by subtracting the “unfavourable” responses from…

Read More Read More